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CWT-R.BK$0.76+0.00%
Fair $0.76+0.0%

CWT-R.BK

Chai Watana Tannery Group Public Company Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsThailand

$0.76

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.76Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-106.8M · quality 40.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 1.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · CWT-R.BKLocal privado en este navegador · Chai Watana Tannery Group Public Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$479M

P/E

21.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

6.1x

↓

ROE

1.2%

↓

Gross Margin

17.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.70

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$1

TradingView lightweight chart

CWT-R.BK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.850Periodo +56.2%
Fair value: $0.760

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-9.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.8%

FCF / Net income

-4.86x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.38B · net income $22.0M · FCF $-106.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.3%-6.3% pts

Operating margin

-0.4%-10.3% pts

Net margin

1.6%-8.1% pts

FCF margin

-7.8%-12.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.38B$1.38B$1.61B$1.79B$1.86B
Net Income$22.0M$22.0M$831875.00$-177.3M$180.1M
EBITDA$247.0M$247.0M$246.1M$-116.1M$384.9M
EPS0.030.030.00-0.280.29
Gross Margin17.3%17.3%24.0%17.1%23.6%
Operating Margin-0.4%-0.4%6.9%1.7%9.9%
Net Margin1.6%1.6%0.1%-9.9%9.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.700.700.700.830.47
Current Ratio0.640.64———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-106.8M$-106.8M$134.2M$-127.2M$78.1M
Returns
ROE1.2%1.2%0.0%-10.1%9.1%
Valuation
P/E21.7821.78730.77—8.54
EV/EBITDA6.126.127.13—6.32
P/B0.270.270.340.700.79
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-14.3%-14.3%-10.1%-4.2%—
EPS Growth2584.6%2584.6%100.5%-196.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

24.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.07

Spread vs growth

2560.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

18.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.08

Spread vs growth

2566.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.13

Spread vs growth

2570.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +54.5%

Total return

+54.5%

Start / end P/E

423.1x → 24.4x

EPS bridge

0.00 → 0.03

Residual

-2435.8%

EPS growth+2584.6%
Multiple rerating-94.2%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2435.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.