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DEC$14.91+2.47%
Fair $14.91+0.0%

DEC

Diversified Energy Company

Energy / Oil & Gas IntegratedNYSE

$14.91

+0.36 (+2.47%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $14.91Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 8/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $217.2M · quality 42.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 69/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 3.08, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · DECLocal privado en este navegador · Diversified Energy Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.1B

P/E

1.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.4x

↓

ROE

34.7%

↑

Gross Margin

28.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

3.08

↑
52-Week Range$15
$12$19

TradingView lightweight chart

DEC price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $14.91Periodo +935.4%
Fair value: $14.91

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-5.7%

FCF CAGR

-2.5%

FCF margin

17.4%

FCF / Net income

0.82x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.61B · net income $341.1M · FCF $280.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

28.6%-36.6% pts

Operating margin

15.1%-40.5% pts

Net margin

21.2%+53.8% pts

FCF margin

17.4%+1.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.61B$1.61B$794.8M$868.3M$1.92B
Net Income$341.1M$341.1M$-104.4M$748.7M$-625.4M
EBITDA$923.8M$923.8M$180.9M$1.39B$-476.5M
EPS4.584.58-2.1715.76-14.82
Gross Margin28.6%28.6%9.1%17.6%65.2%
Operating Margin15.1%15.1%-10.8%0.0%55.7%
Net Margin21.2%21.2%-13.1%86.2%-32.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity3.083.084.372.23-9.62
Current Ratio0.470.47———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$280.0M$280.0M$168.6M$217.2M$301.7M
Returns
ROE34.7%34.7%-26.1%127.8%409.6%
Valuation
P/E1.871.87—1.00—
EV/EBITDA4.454.4514.201.47—
P/B1.131.132.061.28—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth102.7%102.7%-8.5%-54.8%—
EPS Growth311.1%311.1%-113.8%206.3%—
Dividend Yield7.8%7.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-33.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.32

Spread vs growth

345.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-19.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.60

Spread vs growth

330.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.58

Spread vs growth

316.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +14.5%

Total return

+14.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-2.17 → 4.58

Residual

+6.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+7.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+6.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.