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DHI$146.98-0.07%
Fair $146.98+0.0%

DHI

D.R. Horton, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Residential ConstructionNYSE

$146.98

-0.11 (-0.07%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $146.98Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 53/C
F-Score: 2/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $3.3B · quality 60.7/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 48/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

53/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 18Warnings: 1unknown: 18
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · DHILocal privado en este navegador · D.R. Horton, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$41.7B

P/E

13.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

10.7x

↑

ROE

14.8%

↑

Gross Margin

23.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.25

↓
52-Week Range$147
$114$185

TradingView lightweight chart

DHI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $146.98Periodo +3926.4%
Fair value: $146.98

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2008–2025 · 17 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

+3.4%

FCF margin

9.6%

FCF / Net income

0.92x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $34.25B · net income $3.59B · FCF $3.28B

2008-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.7%— pts

Operating margin

12.9%— pts

Net margin

10.5%— pts

FCF margin

9.6%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
Income Statement
Revenue$34.25B$34.25B$36.80B$35.46B$33.48B$27.77B$20.31B$17.59B$16.07B$14.09B$12.16B$10.82B$8.02B$6.26B$4.35B$3.64B$4.40B$3.66B—
Net Income$3.59B$3.59B$4.76B$4.75B$5.86B$4.18B$2.37B$1.62B$1.46B$1.04B$886.3M$750.7M$533.5M$462.7M$956.3M$71.8M$245.1M$-549.8M$-2.63B
EBITDA$4.53B$4.53B$6.02B$6.19B$7.65B——————————————
EPS11.5711.5714.3413.8216.5111.416.414.293.812.742.362.031.501.332.770.230.77-1.73-8.34
Gross Margin23.7%23.7%25.9%26.4%31.4%——————————————
Operating Margin12.9%12.9%16.1%17.2%22.6%——————————————
Net Margin10.5%10.5%12.9%13.4%17.5%15.0%11.7%9.2%9.1%7.4%7.3%6.9%6.6%7.4%22.0%2.0%5.6%-15.0%—
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.250.250.240.230.32——————————————
Current Ratio6.376.37—————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$3.28B$3.28B$2.02B$4.16B$413.6M$440.9M$1.33B$764.9M$477.1M$337.5M$545.8M$644.3M$-761.6M$-1.29B$-325.8M$2.6M$690.2M$1.14B$1.87B
Returns
ROE14.8%14.8%18.8%20.9%30.2%28.1%20.0%16.2%16.3%13.4%13.0%12.7%10.4%11.4%26.6%2.7%9.4%-23.0%—
Valuation
P/E13.7913.7912.887.554.36——————————————
EV/EBITDA10.7410.7410.415.993.80——————————————
P/B1.881.882.421.581.32——————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-6.9%-6.9%3.8%5.9%—36.7%15.5%9.5%14.0%15.9%12.3%34.9%28.2%43.8%19.7%-17.3%20.3%——
EPS Growth-19.3%-19.3%3.8%-16.3%—78.0%49.4%12.6%39.1%16.1%16.3%35.3%12.8%-52.0%1104.3%-70.1%144.5%79.3%—
Dividend Yield1.2%1.2%—————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

4.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$13.04

Spread vs growth

-23.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

6.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$15.78

Spread vs growth

-25.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$25.42

Spread vs growth

-27.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +25.7%

Total return

+25.7%

Start / end P/E

8.2x → 12.7x

EPS bridge

14.34 → 11.57

Residual

-10.5%

EPS growth-19.3%
Multiple rerating+54.3%
Dividend+1.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-10.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.