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DIS$102.73+0.88%
Fair $102.73+0.0%

DIS

The Walt Disney Company

Communication Services / EntertainmentNYSE

$102.73

+0.90 (+0.88%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $102.73Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $8.6B · quality 68.3/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 67/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 9Warnings: 0unknown: 9
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · DISLocal privado en este navegador · The Walt Disney Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$178.4B

P/E

16.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.8x

↑

ROE

11.3%

↑

Gross Margin

37.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.41

↑
52-Week Range$103
$92$125

TradingView lightweight chart

DIS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $102.73Periodo +248.6%
Fair value: $102.73

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2017–2025 · 8 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

10.7%

FCF / Net income

0.81x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $94.42B · net income $12.40B · FCF $10.08B

2017-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.8%— pts

Operating margin

14.6%-12.1% pts

Net margin

13.1%-3.2% pts

FCF margin

10.7%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Income Statement
Revenue$94.42B$94.42B$91.36B$88.90B$82.72B$67.42B$65.39B$69.61B$59.43B$55.14B
Net Income$12.40B$12.40B$4.97B$2.35B$3.15B$2.00B$-2.86B$11.05B$12.60B$8.98B
EBITDA$19.14B$19.14B$14.63B$12.11B$12.00B$12.88B$13.45B$19.01B$18.70B$17.56B
EPS6.856.852.721.291.721.09-1.586.648.365.69
Gross Margin37.8%37.8%35.8%33.4%34.2%—————
Operating Margin14.6%14.6%13.0%10.1%8.2%11.5%12.4%21.3%26.4%26.8%
Net Margin13.1%13.1%5.4%2.6%3.8%3.0%-4.4%15.9%21.2%16.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.410.410.480.500.540.550.630.430.35—
Current Ratio0.680.68————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$10.08B$10.08B$8.56B$4.90B$1.07B—————
Returns
ROE11.3%11.3%4.9%2.4%3.3%2.3%-3.4%12.4%25.8%—
Valuation
P/E16.4416.4434.9864.2956.49—————
EV/EBITDA11.7711.7714.8315.4818.13—————
P/B1.691.691.731.531.87—————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.4%3.4%2.8%7.5%—3.1%-6.1%17.1%7.8%—
EPS Growth151.8%151.8%110.9%-25.0%—169.0%-123.8%-20.6%46.9%—
Dividend Yield1.5%1.5%————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

10.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$9.12

Spread vs growth

141.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

10.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$11.03

Spread vs growth

141.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$17.76

Spread vs growth

141.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -7.7%

Total return

-7.7%

Start / end P/E

41.6x → 15.0x

EPS bridge

2.72 → 6.85

Residual

-97.0%

EPS growth+151.8%
Multiple rerating-63.9%
Dividend+1.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-97.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.