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v0.1
DNUT$3.53+0.28%
Fair $3.53+0.0%

DNUT

Krispy Kreme, Inc.

Consumer Defensive / Grocery StoresNasdaqGS

$3.53

+0.01 (+0.28%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.53Fund rank 21/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 13/F
F-Score: 4/9
High DebtDeclining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-75.0M · quality 32.0/100

Data gap 21/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

13/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 6Warnings: 3unknown: 6
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.19, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -79.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · DNUTLocal privado en este navegador · Krispy Kreme, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$609M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-79.3%

↓

Gross Margin

75.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.19

↑
52-Week Range$4
$3$6

TradingView lightweight chart

DNUT price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.530Periodo -83.2%
Fair value: $3.530

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2019–2025 · 6 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.2%

FCF / Net income

0.12x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.52B · net income $-515.8M · FCF $-64.0M

2019-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

75.5%— pts

Operating margin

-2.2%-6.1% pts

Net margin

-33.9%-30.0% pts

FCF margin

-4.2%-4.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2019
Income Statement
Revenue$1.52B$1.52B$1.67B$1.69B$1.53B$1.12B$959.4M
Net Income$-515.8M$-515.8M$3.1M$-37.9M$-15.6M$-64.3M$-37.4M
EBITDA$-341.7M$-341.7M$213.4M$135.2M$136.2M$84.7M$101.8M
EPS-3.04-3.040.02-0.23-0.10-0.52-0.30
Gross Margin75.5%75.5%75.4%73.7%73.4%——
Operating Margin-2.2%-2.2%-0.1%2.5%2.2%0.4%4.0%
Net Margin-33.9%-33.9%0.2%-2.2%-1.0%-5.7%-3.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.192.191.191.191.03——
Current Ratio0.420.42—————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-64.0M$-64.0M$-75.0M$-75.9M$28.1M$-69.2M$4.4M
Returns
ROE-79.3%-79.3%0.3%-3.2%-1.3%-9.4%—
Valuation
P/E——491.00————
EV/EBITDA——14.0927.6922.49——
P/B0.930.931.482.041.56——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.6%-8.6%-1.2%10.2%—17.0%—
EPS Growth-15300.0%-15300.0%108.7%-130.0%—-73.3%—
Dividend Yield3.5%3.5%—————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +25.6%

Total return

+25.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.02 → -3.04

Residual

+22.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+22.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.