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DOU.DE$8.87+1.03%
Fair $8.87+0.0%

DOU.DE

Douglas AG

Consumer Cyclical / Specialty RetailXETRA

$8.87

+0.09 (+1.03%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.87Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 5/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $629.3M · quality 62.7/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 91/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.48, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · DOU.DELocal privado en este navegador · Douglas AG
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$955M

P/E

18.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

4.3x

↓

ROE

18.6%

↑

Gross Margin

44.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.48

↑
52-Week Range$9
$8$13

TradingView lightweight chart

DOU.DE price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.870Periodo -59.9%
Fair value: $8.870

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.6%

FCF CAGR

+10.4%

FCF margin

13.8%

FCF / Net income

3.59x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.58B · net income $175.4M · FCF $629.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

44.5%+0.5% pts

Operating margin

7.6%+2.7% pts

Net margin

3.8%+12.4% pts

FCF margin

13.8%+1.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.58B$4.58B$4.45B$4.09B$3.68B
Net Income$175.4M$175.4M$84.0M$16.7M$-313.7M
EBITDA$757.9M$757.9M$710.7M$695.9M$12.0M
EPS1.631.630.910.20-4.18
Gross Margin44.5%44.5%45.7%45.4%44.0%
Operating Margin7.6%7.6%8.1%8.9%4.8%
Net Margin3.8%3.8%1.9%0.4%-8.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.482.480.39-3.51-3.36
Current Ratio0.920.92———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$629.3M$629.3M$683.6M$584.7M$468.1M
Returns
ROE18.6%18.6%11.0%-1.3%24.2%
Valuation
P/E18.4818.4822.04——
EV/EBITDA4.284.282.89——
P/B1.011.012.42——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.8%2.8%8.7%11.3%—
EPS Growth79.1%79.1%355.0%104.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-21.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.79

Spread vs growth

100.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-10.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.95

Spread vs growth

89.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.53

Spread vs growth

79.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -26.0%

Total return

-26.0%

Start / end P/E

13.2x → 5.4x

EPS bridge

0.91 → 1.63

Residual

-46.4%

EPS growth+79.1%
Multiple rerating-58.7%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-46.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.