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v0.1
DRCT$2.93+3.53%
Fair $2.93+0.0%

DRCT

Direct Digital Holdings, Inc.

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesNasdaqCM

$2.93

+0.10 (+3.53%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.93Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 17/F
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueMargin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-8.7M · quality 53.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

17/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 5Warnings: 2unknown: 5
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 4 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · DRCTLocal privado en este navegador · Direct Digital Holdings, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

993.0%

↑

Gross Margin

30.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

-6.80

↓
52-Week Range$3
$2$173

TradingView lightweight chart

DRCT price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.930Periodo -99.6%
Fair value: $2.930

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2025 · 4 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-25.9%

FCF / Net income

0.47x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $34.7M · net income $-18.9M · FCF $-9.0M

2021-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.0%-18.3% pts

Operating margin

-42.5%-54.0% pts

Net margin

-54.6%-50.7% pts

FCF margin

-25.9%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$34.7M$34.7M$62.3M$157.1M$89.4M$38.1M
Net Income$-18.9M$-18.9M$-6.2M$-2.2M$205000.00$-1.5M
EBITDA$-20.2M$-20.2M$-6.0M$473000.00$9.8M$4.4M
EPS-303.16-303.16-365.2028.6037.40-9699.80
Gross Margin30.0%30.0%27.9%23.9%32.8%48.3%
Operating Margin-42.5%-42.5%-21.2%-1.4%8.9%11.5%
Net Margin-54.6%-54.6%-10.0%-1.4%0.2%-4.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-6.80-6.80-7.2757.0110.77—
Current Ratio0.160.16————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-9.0M$-9.0M$-8.7M$2.4M$1.4M—
Returns
ROE993.0%993.0%125.0%-404.1%9.0%402.0%
Valuation
P/E———101.3816.24—
EV/EBITDA———469.566.82—
P/B———361.4420.44—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-44.3%-44.3%-60.4%75.8%——
EPS Growth17.0%17.0%-1376.9%-23.5%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -97.5%

Total return

-97.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-365.20 → -303.16

Residual

-97.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-97.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.