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v0.1
DUST.ST$1.76-2.55%
Fair $1.76+0.0%

DUST.ST

Dustin Group AB (publ)

Technology / Information Technology ServicesStockholm

$1.76

-0.05 (-2.55%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.76Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $379.1M · quality 48.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 0.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · DUST.STLocal privado en este navegador · Dustin Group AB (publ)
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.4B

P/E

3.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.9x

↓

ROE

0.8%

↓

Gross Margin

14.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.60

↑
52-Week Range$2
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

DUST.ST price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.756Periodo -93.9%
Fair value: $1.756

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.5%

FCF / Net income

-1.85x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $21.48B · net income $53.0M · FCF $-98.0M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

14.9%-1.6% pts

Operating margin

1.7%— pts

Net margin

0.2%-2.1% pts

FCF margin

-0.5%-1.0% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$21.48B$21.48B$23.58B$23.60B$15.03B
Net Income$53.0M$53.0M$173.9M$477.7M$357.0M
EBITDA$751.0M$751.0M$890.7M$1.17B—
EPS0.080.080.481.31—
Gross Margin14.9%14.9%14.5%14.7%16.5%
Operating Margin1.7%1.7%2.3%3.4%—
Net Margin0.2%0.2%0.7%2.0%2.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.600.601.091.041.08
Current Ratio1.171.17———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-98.0M$-98.0M$379.1M$393.4M$83.6M
Returns
ROE0.8%0.8%3.2%9.4%7.6%
Valuation
P/E3.663.6624.4024.65—
EV/EBITDA5.895.8910.1713.91—
P/B0.160.160.792.314.07
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.9%-8.9%-0.1%57.0%—
EPS Growth-83.3%-83.3%-63.4%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

24.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.16

Spread vs growth

-108.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

18.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.19

Spread vs growth

-102.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.30

Spread vs growth

-97.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -19.8%

Total return

-19.8%

Start / end P/E

4.6x → 22.0x

EPS bridge

0.48 → 0.08

Residual

-317.2%

EPS growth-83.3%
Multiple rerating+380.7%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-317.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.