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v0.1
EBS$8.49-6.91%
Fair $8.49+0.0%

EBS

Emergent BioSolutions Inc.

Healthcare / Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericNYSE

$8.49

-0.63 (-6.91%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.49Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 7/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $35.8M · quality 39.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 1unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 4 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · EBSLocal privado en este navegador · Emergent BioSolutions Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$438M

P/E

9.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.6x

↓

ROE

10.1%

↑

Gross Margin

53.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.09

↑
52-Week Range$8
$6$14

TradingView lightweight chart

EBS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.490Periodo -27.4%
Fair value: $8.490

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

22.2%

FCF / Net income

2.98x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $705.2M · net income $52.6M · FCF $156.8M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

53.7%— pts

Operating margin

15.9%-1.2% pts

Net margin

7.5%-5.8% pts

FCF margin

22.2%+23.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$705.2M$705.2M$1.01B$1.02B$1.08B$1.77B$1.56B$1.11B$782.4M$560.9M$488.8M$489.3M$404.5M$312.7M$281.9M$273.4M$286.2M$234.8M
Net Income$52.6M$52.6M$-190.6M$-760.5M$-211.6M$219.5M$305.8M$54.5M$62.7M$82.6M$51.8M$62.9M$36.7M$31.1M$23.5M$23.0M$51.7M$31.1M
EBITDA$237.9M$237.9M$36.9M$-518.2M$-38.4M$465.2M$488.6M$163.6M$126.1M$156.5M$133.5M$165.3M$111.5M$59.8M$41.2M$41.5M$79.5M$45.1M
EPS0.930.93-3.60-14.85-4.474.065.681.041.221.711.131.410.880.850.650.641.590.99
Gross Margin53.7%53.7%32.8%31.0%35.6%50.3%59.5%———————————
Operating Margin15.9%15.9%-8.0%-19.7%-15.2%19.2%28.2%10.3%11.5%22.2%21.6%28.9%22.1%13.7%10.6%11.7%25.7%17.1%
Net Margin7.5%7.5%-18.8%-74.3%-19.7%12.4%19.7%4.9%8.0%14.7%10.6%12.8%9.1%10.0%8.3%8.4%18.1%13.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.091.091.371.321.010.500.580.730.780.010.42—0.450.130.130.130.08—
Current Ratio4.294.29————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$156.8M$156.8M$35.8M$-257.9M$-149.9M$96.1M$395.0M$101.1M$-30.3M$153.3M$-21.6M$-2.3M$81.6M$54.9M$-14.2M$-41.8M$75.9M$-3.4M
Returns
ROE10.1%10.1%-39.5%-117.1%-15.2%13.6%21.1%5.0%6.2%9.1%8.7%—6.6%6.4%5.3%5.6%14.0%—
Valuation
P/E9.139.13————————————————
EV/EBITDA3.563.5630.11———————————————
P/B0.920.921.130.170.49—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-30.4%-30.4%-0.9%-4.9%—14.0%40.6%41.4%39.5%14.8%-0.1%21.0%29.3%10.9%3.1%-4.5%21.9%—
EPS Growth125.8%125.8%75.8%-232.2%—-28.5%446.2%-14.8%-28.7%51.3%-19.9%60.2%3.5%30.8%1.6%-59.7%60.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.75

Spread vs growth

132.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.91

Spread vs growth

126.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.47

Spread vs growth

121.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +34.3%

Total return

+34.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-3.60 → 0.93

Residual

+34.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+34.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.