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ECH.AX$0.36+1.39%
Fair $0.36+0.0%

ECH.AX

Echelon Resources Limited

Energy / Oil & Gas E&PASX

$0.36

+0.00 (+1.39%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.36Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 2/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $33.6M · quality 76.7/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 82/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 2.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ECH.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Echelon Resources Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$81M

P/E

18.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

1.8x

↓

ROE

2.4%

↓

Gross Margin

99.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.36

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

ECH.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.365Periodo -3.8%
Fair value: $0.360

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.0%

FCF CAGR

+32.6%

FCF margin

41.8%

FCF / Net income

14.93x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $124.2M · net income $3.5M · FCF $51.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

99.0%-1.5% pts

Operating margin

23.0%-8.0% pts

Net margin

2.8%-17.7% pts

FCF margin

41.8%+15.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$124.2M$124.2M$92.9M$98.8M$83.8M
Net Income$3.5M$3.5M$3.9M$10.8M$17.2M
EBITDA$53.6M$53.6M$31.9M$40.8M$36.6M
EPS0.020.020.020.050.10
Gross Margin99.0%99.0%101.4%99.0%100.4%
Operating Margin23.0%23.0%26.1%29.2%31.0%
Net Margin2.8%2.8%4.2%10.9%20.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.360.360.34——
Current Ratio3.103.10———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$51.9M$51.9M$33.6M$20.3M$22.3M
Returns
ROE2.4%2.4%2.5%6.8%11.5%
Valuation
P/E18.0018.0022.657.134.26
EV/EBITDA1.751.753.080.980.23
P/B0.570.570.560.480.49
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth33.7%33.7%-6.0%17.9%—
EPS Growth-11.2%-11.2%-63.8%-50.5%—
Dividend Yield2.7%2.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

28.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

-39.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

20.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.04

Spread vs growth

-31.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.06

Spread vs growth

-26.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +7.0%

Total return

+7.0%

Start / end P/E

20.6x → 24.2x

EPS bridge

0.02 → 0.02

Residual

-1.9%

EPS growth-11.2%
Multiple rerating+17.4%
Dividend+2.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.