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ECNL.MI$1.41-3.56%
Fair $1.41+0.0%

ECNL.MI

Aquafil S.p.A.

Consumer Cyclical / Textile ManufacturingMilan

$1.41

-0.05 (-3.56%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.41Fund rank 18/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 17/F
F-Score: 6/9
High DebtDeclining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 10%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $7.8M · quality 19.7/100

Data gap 18/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

17/100

F

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.87, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -3.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ECNL.MILocal privado en este navegador · Aquafil S.p.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$122M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

5.8x

↓

ROE

-3.6%

↓

Gross Margin

58.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.87

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

ECNL.MI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.410Periodo -86.1%
Fair value: $1.410

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-8.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

1.5%

FCF / Net income

-1.65x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $534.3M · net income $-4.7M · FCF $7.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

58.8%+3.6% pts

Operating margin

2.7%-2.8% pts

Net margin

-0.9%-5.1% pts

FCF margin

1.5%+8.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$534.3M$534.3M$551.0M$580.7M$697.1M
Net Income$-4.7M$-4.7M$-16.3M$-25.8M$29.2M
EBITDA$57.5M$57.5M$52.5M$36.3M$91.4M
EPS-0.05-0.05-0.19-0.470.52
Gross Margin58.8%58.8%55.4%50.9%55.2%
Operating Margin2.7%2.7%0.9%-1.0%5.4%
Net Margin-0.9%-0.9%-3.0%-4.5%4.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.872.872.173.282.10
Current Ratio1.811.81———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$7.8M$7.8M$-1.8M$39.1M$-52.1M
Returns
ROE-3.6%-3.6%-10.3%-20.6%16.6%
Valuation
P/E————11.83
EV/EBITDA5.795.796.3512.066.59
P/B0.930.930.751.471.97
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.0%-3.0%-5.1%-16.7%—
EPS Growth71.2%71.2%59.7%-190.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +2.2%

Total return

+2.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.19 → -0.05

Residual

+2.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+2.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.