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v0.1
ECX$1.20+1.69%
Fair $1.20+0.0%

ECX

ECARX Holdings Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsNasdaqGM

$1.20

+0.02 (+1.69%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.20Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-106.6M · quality 74.7/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 42/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · ECXLocal privado en este navegador · ECARX Holdings Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$457M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

23.4%

↑

Gross Margin

19.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

-1.61

↓
52-Week Range$1
$1$3

TradingView lightweight chart

ECX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.200Periodo -87.8%
Fair value: $1.200

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+18.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-12.6%

FCF / Net income

1.61x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $847.9M · net income $-66.0M · FCF $-106.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

19.0%-8.9% pts

Operating margin

-5.9%+38.7% pts

Net margin

-7.8%+36.1% pts

FCF margin

-12.6%+4.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$847.9M$847.9M$771.5M$662.2M$516.3M
Net Income$-66.0M$-66.0M$-129.8M$-133.3M$-226.7M
EBITDA$-19.5M$-19.5M$-92.6M$-115.6M$-205.4M
EPS-0.20-0.20-0.38-0.39-1.15
Gross Margin19.0%19.0%20.8%27.0%27.9%
Operating Margin-5.9%-5.9%-15.6%-19.5%-44.6%
Net Margin-7.8%-7.8%-16.8%-20.1%-43.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-1.61-1.61-1.22-1.97-8.04
Current Ratio0.650.65———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-106.6M$-106.6M$-75.9M$-181.3M$-89.7M
Returns
ROE23.4%23.4%54.1%102.9%796.4%
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.9%9.9%16.5%28.3%—
EPS Growth47.3%47.3%3.6%65.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -23.1%

Total return

-23.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.38 → -0.20

Residual

-23.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-23.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.