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ELFORGE.BO$17.29-0.97%
Fair $17.29+0.0%

ELFORGE.BO

El Forge Ltd

Industrials / Metal FabricationBSE

$17.29

-0.17 (-0.97%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $17.29Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $24.0M · quality 31.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: yahooPeriods: 5Warnings: 0yahoo: 5
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · ELFORGE.BOLocal privado en este navegador · El Forge Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$351M

P/E

14.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.3x

↓

ROE

8.9%

↑

Gross Margin

42.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$17
$12$26

TradingView lightweight chart

ELFORGE.BO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $17.29Periodo +60.1%
Fair value: $17.29

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2026 · 4 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+22.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

3.9%

FCF / Net income

1.29x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $804.1M · net income $24.4M · FCF $31.4M

2022-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

42.7%+6.0% pts

Operating margin

3.0%+17.2% pts

Net margin

3.0%+14.0% pts

FCF margin

3.9%+6.3% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$804.1M$804.1M$761.3M$683.2M$523.3M$360.7M
Net Income$24.4M$24.4M$23.0M$711.2M$-23.1M$-39.7M
EBITDA$47.6M$47.6M$46.1M$734.4M$29.7M$26.3M
EPS1.201.201.1334.99-1.13-1.95
Gross Margin42.7%42.7%42.0%43.6%36.1%36.6%
Operating Margin3.0%3.0%2.9%4.6%-2.0%-14.2%
Net Margin3.0%3.0%3.0%104.1%-4.4%-11.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity——0.190.21-0.08-0.08
Current Ratio2.062.06————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$31.4M$31.4M$24.0M$8.6M$15.0M$-8.7M
Returns
ROE8.9%8.9%9.3%316.4%3.8%6.8%
Valuation
P/E14.4114.4119.870.40——
EV/EBITDA6.276.2710.050.415.48—
P/B1.291.291.841.26——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.6%5.6%11.4%30.6%——
EPS Growth6.2%6.2%-96.8%3196.5%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

8.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.53

Spread vs growth

-2.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

9.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.86

Spread vs growth

-2.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

9.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.99

Spread vs growth

-3.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -25.5%

Total return

-25.5%

Start / end P/E

20.5x → 14.4x

EPS bridge

1.13 → 1.20

Residual

-1.8%

EPS growth+6.2%
Multiple rerating-29.8%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.