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v0.1
EMBC$3.29-2.66%
Fair $3.29+0.0%

EMBC

Embecta Corp.

Healthcare / Medical Instruments & SuppliesNasdaqGS

$3.29

-0.09 (-2.66%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.29Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 31% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $41.2M · quality 63.3/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 46/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 6Warnings: 1unknown: 6
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -14.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · EMBCLocal privado en este navegador · Embecta Corp.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$195M

P/E

1.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.9x

↓

ROE

-14.6%

↓

Gross Margin

62.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

-2.20

↓
52-Week Range$3
$3$16

TradingView lightweight chart

EMBC price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.290Periodo -93.0%
Fair value: $3.290

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2020–2025 · 5 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.1%

FCF CAGR

-16.8%

FCF margin

16.9%

FCF / Net income

1.91x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.08B · net income $95.4M · FCF $182.4M

2020-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

62.6%-7.6% pts

Operating margin

27.4%-17.4% pts

Net margin

8.8%-30.6% pts

FCF margin

16.9%-25.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Income Statement
Revenue$1.08B$1.08B$1.12B$1.12B$1.13B$1.17B$1.09B
Net Income$95.4M$95.4M$78.3M$70.4M$223.6M$414.8M$427.6M
EBITDA$284.3M$284.3M$192.7M$245.3M$334.5M$530.3M$524.8M
EPS1.621.621.341.223.897.287.50
Gross Margin62.6%62.6%65.5%66.9%68.6%68.7%70.3%
Operating Margin27.4%27.4%25.4%20.0%32.6%42.2%44.8%
Net Margin8.8%8.8%7.0%6.3%19.8%35.6%39.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-2.20-2.20-2.18-1.99-1.840.00—
Current Ratio2.462.46—————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$182.4M$182.4M$19.9M$41.2M$388.2M$419.5M$456.6M
Returns
ROE-14.6%-14.6%-10.6%-8.6%-25.1%69.8%74.7%
Valuation
P/E1.741.7410.0811.527.13——
EV/EBITDA4.924.9211.058.668.69——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.8%-3.8%0.2%-0.8%—7.4%—
EPS Growth20.9%20.9%9.8%-68.6%—-2.9%—
Dividend Yield14.0%14.0%—————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-43.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.29

Spread vs growth

64.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-26.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.35

Spread vs growth

47.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-9.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.57

Spread vs growth

30.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -54.8%

Total return

-54.8%

Start / end P/E

7.9x → 2.0x

EPS bridge

1.34 → 1.62

Residual

-15.5%

EPS growth+20.9%
Multiple rerating-74.2%
Dividend+14.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-15.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.