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ERAA.JK$378.00+1.07%
Fair $378.00+0.0%

ERAA.JK

PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk

Consumer Cyclical / Specialty RetailJakarta

$378.00

+4.00 (+1.07%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $378.00Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-180.7B · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · ERAA.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.91T

P/E

4.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.4x

↓

ROE

13.1%

↑

Gross Margin

10.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.03

↑
52-Week Range$378
$350$590

TradingView lightweight chart

ERAA.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $378.00Periodo +90.9%
Fair value: $378.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+15.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.9%

FCF / Net income

-0.57x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $76.61T · net income $1.20T · FCF $-679.49B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

10.9%+0.1% pts

Operating margin

2.2%-0.9% pts

Net margin

1.6%-0.5% pts

FCF margin

-0.9%-0.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$76606.90B$76606.90B$65279.68B$60139.41B$49471.48B
Net Income$1195.97B$1195.97B$1032.55B$826.05B$1012.87B
EBITDA$3850.79B$3850.79B$3282.30B$2735.29B$2415.64B
EPS75.6875.6865.4252.3463.87
Gross Margin10.9%10.9%11.1%10.7%10.8%
Operating Margin2.2%2.2%2.6%2.5%3.0%
Net Margin1.6%1.6%1.6%1.4%2.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.031.030.800.900.72
Current Ratio1.241.24———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-679.49B$-679.49B$1316.94B$-180.70B$-365.14B
Returns
ROE13.1%13.1%12.7%11.3%15.0%
Valuation
P/E4.134.136.428.066.11
EV/EBITDA3.443.443.464.204.13
P/B0.650.650.810.910.92
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth17.4%17.4%8.5%21.6%—
EPS Growth15.7%15.7%25.0%-18.1%—
Dividend Yield5.1%5.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-23.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$33.54

Spread vs growth

39.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-11.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$40.58

Spread vs growth

27.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$65.36

Spread vs growth

17.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -19.0%

Total return

-19.0%

Start / end P/E

7.6x → 5.0x

EPS bridge

65.42 → 75.68

Residual

-5.4%

EPS growth+15.7%
Multiple rerating-34.4%
Dividend+5.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.