StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
ERAG.DE$9.30+2.42%
Fair $9.30+0.0%

ERAG.DE

Ernst Russ AG

Industrials / Marine ShippingXETRA

$9.30

+0.22 (+2.42%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $9.30Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 68/B
F-Score: 7/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $41.1M · quality 64.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 48/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

68/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · ERAG.DELocal privado en este navegador · Ernst Russ AG
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$313M

P/E

5.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.6x

↓

ROE

29.6%

↑

Gross Margin

32.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$9
$6$9

TradingView lightweight chart

ERAG.DE price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $9.300Periodo -47.9%
Fair value: $9.300

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.2%

FCF CAGR

-14.1%

FCF margin

26.0%

FCF / Net income

0.56x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $158.1M · net income $73.5M · FCF $41.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

32.5%-1.3% pts

Operating margin

32.3%-0.4% pts

Net margin

46.5%+21.8% pts

FCF margin

26.0%-7.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$158.1M$158.1M$172.7M$202.7M$191.7M
Net Income$73.5M$73.5M$42.5M$55.1M$47.3M
EBITDA$124.5M$124.5M$101.3M$118.8M$120.6M
EPS2.182.181.261.661.39
Gross Margin32.5%32.5%31.1%35.7%33.9%
Operating Margin32.3%32.3%28.8%34.7%32.7%
Net Margin46.5%46.5%24.6%27.2%24.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.010.03
Current Ratio3.383.38———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$41.1M$41.1M$94.6M$-7.9M$64.8M
Returns
ROE29.6%29.6%23.5%32.3%40.0%
Valuation
P/E5.225.224.762.833.27
EV/EBITDA1.611.610.920.770.83
P/B1.261.261.120.911.31
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.5%-8.5%-14.8%5.7%—
EPS Growth73.0%73.0%-24.1%19.3%—
Dividend Yield2.8%2.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-27.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.83

Spread vs growth

100.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-14.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.00

Spread vs growth

87.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.61

Spread vs growth

76.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +49.9%

Total return

+49.9%

Start / end P/E

5.0x → 4.3x

EPS bridge

1.26 → 2.18

Residual

-10.9%

EPS growth+73.0%
Multiple rerating-14.9%
Dividend+2.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-10.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.