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ERB.WA$25.55+2.61%
Fair $25.55+0.0%

ERB.WA

Erbud S.A.

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionWarsaw

$25.55

+0.65 (+2.61%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $25.55Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 19/F
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $87.5M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 9/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

19/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -8.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ERB.WALocal privado en este navegador · Erbud S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$305M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

5.2x

↓

ROE

-8.3%

↓

Gross Margin

8.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.90

↑
52-Week Range$26
$23$39

TradingView lightweight chart

ERB.WA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $25.55Periodo -72.8%
Fair value: $25.55

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-5.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.9%

FCF / Net income

1.72x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.26B · net income $-35.8M · FCF $-61.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

8.1%+2.3% pts

Operating margin

0.7%-0.0% pts

Net margin

-1.1%-1.3% pts

FCF margin

-1.9%+3.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.26B$3.26B$2.98B$3.23B$3.86B
Net Income$-35.8M$-35.8M$-28.9M$10.0M$8.3M
EBITDA$81.1M$81.1M$65.7M$120.5M$52.9M
EPS-3.00-3.00-2.420.840.69
Gross Margin8.1%8.1%7.4%6.5%5.8%
Operating Margin0.7%0.7%0.4%1.0%0.8%
Net Margin-1.1%-1.1%-1.0%0.3%0.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.900.900.640.450.58
Current Ratio1.261.26———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-61.4M$-61.4M$87.5M$234.4M$-189.8M
Returns
ROE-8.3%-8.3%-5.9%1.9%1.5%
Valuation
P/E———48.6948.99
EV/EBITDA5.195.196.153.8510.48
P/B0.710.710.870.910.75
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.3%9.3%-7.9%-16.1%—
EPS Growth-24.0%-24.0%-388.1%21.7%—
Dividend Yield6.8%6.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -27.4%

Total return

-27.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-2.42 → -3.00

Residual

-34.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+6.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-34.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.