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ERBOS.IS$196.60+0.00%
Fair $196.60+0.0%

ERBOS.IS

Erbosan Erciyas Boru Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S.

Industrials / Metal FabricationIstanbul

$196.60

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $196.60Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 0/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $154.2M · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

0/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -8.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ERBOS.ISLocal privado en este navegador · Erbosan Erciyas Boru Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.9B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-8.4%

↓

Gross Margin

10.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.45

↑
52-Week Range$197
$135$226

TradingView lightweight chart

ERBOS.IS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $196.60Periodo +15484.6%
Fair value: $196.60

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+51.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.8%

FCF / Net income

0.97x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.51B · net income $-220.7M · FCF $-215.1M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

10.7%-12.4% pts

Operating margin

4.3%-14.8% pts

Net margin

-4.9%-20.0% pts

FCF margin

-4.8%-5.5% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$4.51B$4.51B$5.49B$4.76B$1.30B
Net Income$-220.7M$-220.7M$-214.8M$126.4M$196.3M
EBITDA$-53.5M$-53.5M$-8.4M$397.1M$252.5M
EPS——-10.746.329.82
Gross Margin10.7%10.7%16.7%23.0%23.0%
Operating Margin4.3%4.3%11.6%14.5%19.1%
Net Margin-4.9%-4.9%-3.9%2.7%15.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.450.450.380.350.49
Current Ratio3.123.12———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-215.1M$-215.1M$154.2M$410.1M$9.8M
Returns
ROE-8.4%-8.4%-7.4%6.3%29.5%
Valuation
P/E———27.3912.60
EV/EBITDA———9.4610.47
P/B1.501.501.241.733.72
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-17.8%-17.8%15.2%267.3%—
EPS Growth——-269.9%-35.6%—
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +40.1%

Total return

+40.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-10.74 → n/d

Residual

+38.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+38.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.