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v0.1
ESP$57.61-0.59%
Fair $57.61+0.0%

ESP

Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.

Industrials / Electrical Equipment & PartsNYSE American

$57.61

-0.34 (-0.59%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $57.61Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $5.4M · quality 43.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 45/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 15Warnings: 0unknown: 15
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · ESPLocal privado en este navegador · Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$173M

P/E

15.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

15.9x

↑

ROE

16.0%

↑

Gross Margin

28.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$58
$36$75

TradingView lightweight chart

ESP price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $57.61Periodo +687.8%
Fair value: $57.61

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2011–2025 · 14 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

+10.1%

FCF margin

37.8%

FCF / Net income

2.04x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $44.0M · net income $8.1M · FCF $16.6M

2011-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

28.9%— pts

Operating margin

18.5%— pts

Net margin

18.5%— pts

FCF margin

37.8%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Income Statement
Revenue$44.0M$44.0M$38.7M$35.6M$32.1M$27.7M$31.5M$36.5M$32.5M$22.5M——————
Net Income$8.1M$8.1M$5.8M$3.7M$1.3M$-181543.00$1.2M$2.3M$3.1M$1.1M$3.2M$3.2M$1.2M$5.6M$4.4M$3.9M
EBITDA$8.6M$8.6M$7.0M$4.8M$2.0M———————————
EPS3.023.022.291.490.52-0.080.490.981.310.491.381.390.512.481.991.77
Gross Margin28.9%28.9%27.5%22.6%17.0%12.1%17.6%19.4%23.6%20.9%——————
Operating Margin18.5%18.5%16.9%12.1%4.8%-1.5%3.7%7.3%11.9%6.8%——————
Net Margin18.5%18.5%15.0%10.3%3.9%-0.7%3.7%6.4%9.5%5.0%——————
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio2.282.28——————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$16.6M$16.6M$5.4M$3.4M$1.9M$551442.00$5.8M$-4.2M$-1.7M$6.1M$5.5M$405713.00$4.7M$3.0M$7.1M$4.3M
Returns
ROE16.0%16.0%14.1%10.2%3.9%-0.6%3.7%7.3%9.2%3.6%9.8%10.3%3.9%17.5%14.8%13.5%
Valuation
P/E15.1215.129.5910.9526.92———————————
EV/EBITDA15.9115.917.347.8512.82———————————
P/B3.053.051.351.121.06———————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth13.5%13.5%8.8%10.9%—-12.0%-13.6%12.2%44.4%———————
EPS Growth31.9%31.9%53.7%186.5%—-116.3%-50.0%-25.2%167.3%-64.5%-0.7%172.5%-79.4%24.6%12.4%—
Dividend Yield1.7%1.7%——————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

19.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.11

Spread vs growth

12.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

15.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.19

Spread vs growth

16.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$9.96

Spread vs growth

19.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +59.1%

Total return

+59.1%

Start / end P/E

16.0x → 19.1x

EPS bridge

2.29 → 3.02

Residual

+6.2%

EPS growth+31.9%
Multiple rerating+19.4%
Dividend+1.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+6.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.