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ESPE.MI$6.00+1.01%
Fair $6.00+0.0%

ESPE.MI

Espe S.p.A.

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionMilan

$6.00

+0.06 (+1.01%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.00Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-440000.00 · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

12/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 3Warnings: 0unknown: 3
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · ESPE.MILocal privado en este navegador · Espe S.p.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$73M

P/E

9.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

12.3x

↑

ROE

23.6%

↑

Gross Margin

70.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.06

↑
52-Week Range$6
$3$6

TradingView lightweight chart

ESPE.MI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.000Periodo +300.0%
Fair value: $6.000

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+40.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-29.1%

FCF / Net income

-4.26x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $50.7M · net income $3.5M · FCF $-14.7M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

70.6%+55.2% pts

Operating margin

12.9%+13.0% pts

Net margin

6.8%+6.4% pts

FCF margin

-29.1%-34.6% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$50.7M$50.7M$36.6M$18.3M
Net Income$3.5M$3.5M$224000.00$73000.00
EBITDA$7.1M$7.1M$886000.00$457000.00
EPS——0.020.01
Gross Margin70.6%70.6%11.5%15.4%
Operating Margin12.9%12.9%1.9%-0.1%
Net Margin6.8%6.8%0.6%0.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.061.061.191.14
Current Ratio1.211.21——
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-14.7M$-14.7M$-440000.00$1.0M
Returns
ROE23.6%23.6%4.2%1.4%
Valuation
P/E9.849.84——
EV/EBITDA12.3012.30——
P/B4.964.96——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth38.7%38.7%99.5%—
EPS Growth——206.8%—
Dividend Yield6.3%6.3%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +96.2%

Total return

+96.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.02 → n/d

Residual

+89.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+6.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+89.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.