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ESTA.JK$177.00+3.51%
Fair $177.00+0.0%

ESTA.JK

PT Esta Multi Usaha Tbk

Consumer Cyclical / LodgingJakartaID

$177.00

+6.00 (+3.51%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $177.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 21/D
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-10.1B · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

21/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: eodhdPeriods: 10Warnings: 1eodhd: 10
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -4.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ESTA.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Esta Multi Usaha Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$429.3B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-4.5%

↓

Gross Margin

39.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.81

↑
52-Week Range$177
$58$474

TradingView lightweight chart

ESTA.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $177.00Periodo +161.3%
Fair value: $177.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2016–2025 · 9 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+60.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-20.2%

FCF / Net income

1.23x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $50.17B · net income $-8.22B · FCF $-10.13B

2016-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

39.1%-7.8% pts

Operating margin

5.5%-4.9% pts

Net margin

-16.4%+193.4% pts

FCF margin

-20.2%+132.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Income Statement
Revenue$50.17B$50.17B$51.13B$50.50B$43.52B$35.56B$8.80B$8.17B$4.28B$676.5M$695.0M
Net Income$-8.22B$-8.22B$-958.8M$27.45B$3.17B$574.2M$1.72B$1.97B$-3.96B$-1.74B$-1.46B
EBITDA$17.42B$17.42B$21.22B$50.49B$22.16B$28.01B$7.05B$6.34B$1.46B$547.2M$441.4M
EPS-3.39-3.39-0.4011.323.310.350.911.04-2.09-0.92-0.77
Gross Margin39.1%39.1%42.3%45.0%41.6%39.4%45.8%38.5%19.3%42.1%46.9%
Operating Margin5.5%5.5%10.0%12.5%3.2%0.7%10.0%5.9%-12.2%2.8%10.4%
Net Margin-16.4%-16.4%-1.9%54.4%7.3%1.6%19.5%24.2%-92.6%-257.0%-209.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.810.810.680.470.630.780.230.400.41-76.467.56
Current Ratio0.650.650.671.251.161.075.790.740.440.110.22
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-10.13B$-10.13B$-36.60B$-3.47B$612.8M$4.36B$4.04B$-3.09B$-16.43B$-11.44B$-1.06B
Returns
ROE-4.5%-4.5%-0.5%14.4%2.2%0.4%2.9%5.5%-11.8%494.6%-105.1%
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.9%-1.9%1.2%16.0%22.4%304.1%7.8%90.8%532.8%-2.7%—
EPS Growth-757.2%-757.2%-103.5%241.8%845.6%-61.4%-12.8%149.8%-127.9%-19.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +160.3%

Total return

+160.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.40 → -3.39

Residual

+160.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+160.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.