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EXAI.MI$1.66+0.61%
Fair $1.66+0.0%

EXAI.MI

Expert.ai S.p.A.

Technology / Software - ApplicationMilan

$1.66

+0.01 (+0.61%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.66Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 10/F
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-8.2M · quality 32.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

10/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -20.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · EXAI.MILocal privado en este navegador · Expert.ai S.p.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$188M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-20.7%

↓

Gross Margin

112.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$2
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

EXAI.MI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.660Periodo -11.2%
Fair value: $1.660

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-30.7%

FCF / Net income

0.49x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $21.8M · net income $-13.7M · FCF $-6.7M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

112.8%+1.4% pts

Operating margin

-10.1%+7.0% pts

Net margin

-62.9%-50.0% pts

FCF margin

-30.7%-54.0% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$21.8M$21.8M$23.5M$21.9M$22.8M
Net Income$-13.7M$-13.7M$-23.3M$-17.0M$-2.9M
EBITDA$-4.9M$-4.9M$-15.0M$-3.0M$4.4M
EPS-0.10-0.10-0.14-0.30-0.30
Gross Margin112.8%112.8%118.3%115.5%111.3%
Operating Margin-10.1%-10.1%-12.1%-74.3%-17.1%
Net Margin-62.9%-62.9%-99.1%-77.8%-12.9%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio1.771.77———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-6.7M$-6.7M$-8.2M$-8.4M$5.3M
Returns
ROE-20.7%-20.7%-46.4%-24.8%-3.8%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA————20.68
P/B2.442.441.200.521.53
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-7.2%-7.2%7.2%-3.8%—
EPS Growth26.6%26.6%52.3%0.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +14.5%

Total return

+14.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.14 → -0.10

Residual

+14.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+14.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.