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EXM.BR$11.45-0.87%
Fair $11.45+0.0%

EXM.BR

Exmar NV

Energy / Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesBrussels

$11.45

-0.10 (-0.87%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11.45Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 64/B
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $45.4M · quality 61.3/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 61/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

64/100

B

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · EXM.BRLocal privado en este navegador · Exmar NV
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$910M

P/E

11.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.6x

↓

ROE

13.5%

↑

Gross Margin

36.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.51

↑
52-Week Range$11
$9$14

TradingView lightweight chart

EXM.BR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11.45Periodo +50.3%
Fair value: $11.45

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+16.8%

FCF CAGR

+138.2%

FCF margin

30.0%

FCF / Net income

1.00x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $248.1M · net income $74.3M · FCF $74.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

36.6%+16.7% pts

Operating margin

27.4%+34.9% pts

Net margin

30.0%-175.9% pts

FCF margin

30.0%+26.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$248.1M$248.1M——$155.6M
Net Income$74.3M$74.3M$181.0M$72.0M$320.3M
EBITDA$126.6M$126.6M$241.0M$120.6M$377.0M
EPS1.151.153.141.255.60
Gross Margin36.6%36.6%——19.9%
Operating Margin27.4%27.4%——-7.5%
Net Margin30.0%30.0%——205.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.510.510.520.550.27
Current Ratio2.732.73———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$74.5M$74.5M$40.8M$45.4M$5.5M
Returns
ROE13.5%13.5%29.7%14.9%40.1%
Valuation
P/E11.5711.573.666.021.37
EV/EBITDA6.656.652.924.310.37
P/B1.351.351.090.900.55
Growth & Yield
EPS Growth-63.4%-63.4%151.2%-77.7%—
Dividend Yield7.4%7.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-4.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.02

Spread vs growth

-59.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

1.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.23

Spread vs growth

-64.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.98

Spread vs growth

-69.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +6.8%

Total return

+6.8%

Start / end P/E

3.7x → 10.0x

EPS bridge

3.14 → 1.15

Residual

-108.6%

EPS growth-63.4%
Multiple rerating+171.4%
Dividend+7.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-108.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.