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EXXO34.SA$93.55+2.02%
Fair $93.55+0.0%

EXXO34.SA

Exxon Mobil Corporation

Energy / Oil & Gas IntegratedSão Paulo

$93.55

+1.85 (+2.02%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $93.55Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 3/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $30.7B · quality 78.0/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 70/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · EXXO34.SALocal privado en este navegador · Exxon Mobil Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.10T

P/E

24.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

48.0x

↑

ROE

11.1%

↑

Gross Margin

22.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.17

↓
52-Week Range$94
$0$115

TradingView lightweight chart

EXXO34.SA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $91.70Periodo +360.8%
Fair value: $93.55

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.7%

FCF CAGR

-26.1%

FCF margin

7.3%

FCF / Net income

0.82x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $323.90B · net income $28.84B · FCF $23.61B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.0%-3.9% pts

Operating margin

10.5%-5.6% pts

Net margin

8.9%-5.1% pts

FCF margin

7.3%-7.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$323.90B$323.90B$339.25B$334.70B$398.68B
Net Income$28.84B$28.84B$33.68B$36.01B$55.74B
EBITDA$67.86B$67.86B$73.31B$74.27B$102.59B
EPS0.840.840.981.111.66
Gross Margin22.0%22.0%22.6%25.1%25.9%
Operating Margin10.5%10.5%11.7%13.3%16.1%
Net Margin8.9%8.9%9.9%10.8%14.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.170.170.160.200.21
Current Ratio1.041.04———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$23.61B$23.61B$30.72B$33.45B$58.39B
Returns
ROE11.1%11.1%12.8%17.6%28.6%
Valuation
P/E24.9524.9584.1956.1443.56
EV/EBITDA47.9647.9638.9527.3623.79
P/B12.4212.4210.769.8812.45
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.5%-4.5%1.4%-16.0%—
EPS Growth-14.5%-14.5%-11.8%-33.0%—
Dividend Yield2.0%2.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

114.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$8.30

Spread vs growth

-129.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

64.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$10.04

Spread vs growth

-78.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

34.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$16.18

Spread vs growth

-49.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +30.7%

Total return

+30.7%

Start / end P/E

74.2x → 111.7x

EPS bridge

0.98 → 0.84

Residual

-7.4%

EPS growth-14.5%
Multiple rerating+50.6%
Dividend+2.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-7.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.