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v0.1
FANG$199.03+3.94%
Fair $199.03+0.0%

FANG

Diamondback Energy, Inc.

Energy / Oil & Gas E&PNasdaqGS

$199.03

+7.55 (+3.94%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $199.03Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 4/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-703.0M · quality 41.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 16Warnings: 2unknown: 16
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 4.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · FANGLocal privado en este navegador · Diamondback Energy, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$56.0B

P/E

203.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.1x

↑

ROE

4.5%

↑

Gross Margin

35.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.40

↑
52-Week Range$199
$134$215

TradingView lightweight chart

FANG price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $199.03Periodo +1037.3%
Fair value: $199.03

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2010–2025 · 15 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.7%

FCF / Net income

-0.42x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $14.93B · net income $1.66B · FCF $-703.0M

2010-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

35.0%— pts

Operating margin

32.9%— pts

Net margin

11.1%— pts

FCF margin

-4.7%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Income Statement
Revenue$14.93B$14.93B$11.02B$8.34B$9.57B$6.75B$2.76B$3.89B$2.13B$1.21B———————
Net Income$1.66B$1.66B$3.34B$3.14B$4.39B$2.18B$-4.52B$240.0M$846.0M$482.0M$-165.0M$-550.6M$193.8M$54.6M$-36.5M$-386000.00$8.2M
EBITDA$7.18B$7.18B$7.64B$6.17B$7.23B$5.28B$-4.17B$2.15B$1.63B$932.0M$109.4M$-522.6M$382.7M$161.8M$43.6M$30.7M$17.3M
EPS5.735.7315.5317.3424.6112.24-28.611.478.064.94-2.20-8.743.641.29———
Gross Margin35.0%35.0%45.3%57.5%70.1%————————————
Operating Margin32.9%32.9%39.9%54.8%68.2%59.3%-198.7%17.9%47.5%50.2%———————
Net Margin11.1%11.1%30.3%37.7%45.8%32.3%-163.9%6.2%39.7%40.0%———————
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.400.400.350.410.430.550.640.410.330.280.300.260.380.540.00——
Current Ratio0.560.56———————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-703.0M$-703.0M$-5.37B$1.21B$2.71B————————————
Returns
ROE4.5%4.5%8.8%18.9%29.2%18.1%-51.4%1.8%6.2%9.2%-4.5%-29.4%11.1%6.5%-7.9%——
Valuation
P/E203.09203.0911.018.995.61————————————
EV/EBITDA10.0810.086.505.564.23————————————
P/B1.561.560.971.691.62————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth35.4%35.4%32.2%-12.8%—144.8%-29.1%82.5%76.8%————————
EPS Growth-63.1%-63.1%-10.4%-29.5%—142.8%-2046.3%-81.8%63.2%324.5%74.8%-340.1%182.2%————
Dividend Yield2.2%2.2%———————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

45.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$17.66

Spread vs growth

-108.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

30.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$21.37

Spread vs growth

-93.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

19.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$34.42

Spread vs growth

-82.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +50.1%

Total return

+50.1%

Start / end P/E

8.7x → 34.7x

EPS bridge

15.53 → 5.73

Residual

-189.9%

EPS growth-63.1%
Multiple rerating+300.9%
Dividend+2.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-189.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.