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FATE$2.74-3.52%
Fair $2.74+0.0%

FATE

Fate Therapeutics, Inc.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyNasdaqGM

$2.74

-0.10 (-3.52%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.74Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 35/D
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-123.6M · quality 58.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

35/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 18Warnings: 2unknown: 18
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -65.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · FATELocal privado en este navegador · Fate Therapeutics, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$319M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-65.8%

↓

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.38

↑
52-Week Range$3
$1$3

TradingView lightweight chart

FATE price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.740Periodo -58.6%
Fair value: $2.740

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2008–2025 · 17 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1685.8%

FCF / Net income

0.82x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.6M · net income $-136.3M · FCF $-112.0M

2008-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

-2222.4%— pts

Net margin

-2051.1%— pts

FCF margin

-1685.8%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
Income Statement
Revenue$6.6M$6.6M$13.6M$63.5M$96.3M$55.8M$31.4M$10.7M$4.7M$4.1M$4.4M$2.4M—$971000.00$2.7M$1.2M———
Net Income$-136.3M$-136.3M$-186.3M$-160.9M$-281.7M$-212.2M$-173.4M$-98.1M$-66.6M$-43.0M$-33.5M$-30.0M$-25.9M$-20.9M$-14.2M$-13.4M$-16.2M$-13.3M$-7.2M
EBITDA$-134.8M$-134.8M$-176.6M$-172.2M$-294.6M$-211.1M$-125.0M$-98.5M$-65.9M$-41.2M$-31.1M$-27.1M$-24.4M$-17.1M$-13.0M$-12.6M———
EPS-1.15-1.15-1.64-1.64-2.91-2.24-2.10————————————
Operating Margin-2222.4%-2222.4%-1434.5%-299.9%-320.2%-388.6%-407.5%-943.1%-1415.4%-1025.9%-726.1%-1142.8%—-1820.3%-507.8%-1136.2%———
Net Margin-2051.1%-2051.1%-1366.5%-253.3%-292.5%-379.9%-551.6%-919.0%-1405.0%-1046.1%-760.2%-1233.7%—-2151.8%-533.3%-1147.6%———
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.380.380.270.280.23———0.080.190.030.280.640.03-0.03————
Current Ratio5.855.85—————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-112.0M$-112.0M$-123.6M$-138.4M$-283.8M$-213.6M$-44.2M$-90.6M$-41.0M$-38.5M$-30.3M————————
Returns
ROE-65.8%-65.8%-58.4%-43.7%-58.2%-31.3%-45.1%-40.1%-41.5%-55.6%-45.7%-78.8%-91.3%-41.1%27.0%26.5%43.3%62.1%85.8%
Valuation
P/B1.571.570.641.010.85——————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-51.2%-51.2%-78.5%-34.0%—77.7%194.3%125.3%15.4%-6.7%81.1%——-63.6%128.2%————
EPS Growth29.9%29.9%0.0%43.6%—-6.7%—————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +126.4%

Total return

+126.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.64 → -1.15

Residual

+126.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+126.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.