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FCMC.PA$2680.00+0.75%
Fair $2680.00+0.0%

FCMC.PA

Société Fermière du Casino Municipal de Cannes

Consumer Cyclical / Resorts & CasinosParis

$2680.00

+20.00 (+0.75%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2680.00Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 68/B
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $29.2M · quality 80.0/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 81/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

68/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · FCMC.PALocal privado en este navegador · Société Fermière du Casino Municipal de Cannes
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$423M

P/E

14.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.5x

↓

ROE

8.9%

↑

Gross Margin

69.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$2680
$1460$2700

TradingView lightweight chart

FCMC.PA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,680Periodo +408.5%
Fair value: $2,680

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.0%

FCF CAGR

-5.4%

FCF margin

28.4%

FCF / Net income

1.61x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $161.2M · net income $28.5M · FCF $45.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

69.2%-0.7% pts

Operating margin

25.0%-3.0% pts

Net margin

17.7%-0.7% pts

FCF margin

28.4%-8.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$161.2M$161.2M$153.6M$147.2M$147.7M
Net Income$28.5M$28.5M$22.8M$10.4M$27.1M
EBITDA$56.1M$56.1M$49.8M$37.1M$55.3M
EPS——144.8560.04154.83
Gross Margin69.2%69.2%68.5%68.6%69.9%
Operating Margin25.0%25.0%21.8%22.8%28.0%
Net Margin17.7%17.7%14.9%7.1%18.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.180.270.28
Current Ratio1.621.62———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$45.7M$45.7M$29.2M$27.6M$54.0M
Returns
ROE8.9%8.9%7.9%3.9%9.2%
Valuation
P/E14.8414.8410.1528.658.40
EV/EBITDA6.506.504.117.943.76
P/B1.321.320.801.120.77
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.0%5.0%4.3%-0.4%—
EPS Growth——141.3%-61.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +79.9%

Total return

+79.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

144.85 → n/d

Residual

+79.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+79.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.