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v0.1
FER.MC$57.28+1.24%
Fair $57.28+0.0%

FER.MC

Ferrovial N.V.

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionMCE

$57.28

+0.70 (+1.24%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $57.28Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.2B · quality 65.3/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 85/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · FER.MCLocal privado en este navegador · Ferrovial N.V.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$41.0B

P/E

50.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

23.9x

↑

ROE

15.0%

↑

Gross Margin

88.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.82

↑
52-Week Range$57
$43$64

TradingView lightweight chart

FER.MC price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $57.28Periodo +284.9%
Fair value: $57.28

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.4%

FCF CAGR

+24.2%

FCF margin

18.1%

FCF / Net income

1.96x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $9.63B · net income $888.0M · FCF $1.74B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

88.3%+4.2% pts

Operating margin

10.0%+4.4% pts

Net margin

9.2%+6.7% pts

FCF margin

18.1%+6.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$9.63B$9.63B$9.15B$8.52B$7.55B
Net Income$888.0M$888.0M$3.24B$341.0M$188.0M
EBITDA$2.00B$2.00B$4.54B$1.48B$924.0M
EPS1.241.244.470.460.25
Gross Margin88.3%88.3%87.8%87.7%84.1%
Operating Margin10.0%10.0%9.8%6.9%5.7%
Net Margin9.2%9.2%35.4%4.0%2.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.821.821.903.072.88
Current Ratio1.131.13———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.74B$1.74B$1.07B$1.18B$907.0M
Returns
ROE15.0%15.0%53.3%9.1%4.6%
Valuation
P/E50.2550.259.0872.46100.88
EV/EBITDA23.8523.857.9621.0327.08
P/B6.976.974.846.454.44
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.2%5.2%7.4%12.8%—
EPS Growth-72.3%-72.3%871.7%84.0%—
Dividend Yield2.5%2.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

60.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.08

Spread vs growth

-132.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

37.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.15

Spread vs growth

-110.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

23.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$9.90

Spread vs growth

-95.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +29.5%

Total return

+29.5%

Start / end P/E

10.1x → 46.2x

EPS bridge

4.47 → 1.24

Residual

-258.6%

EPS growth-72.3%
Multiple rerating+357.8%
Dividend+2.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-258.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.