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FIRE.JK$109.00+1.87%
Fair $109.00+0.0%

FIRE.JK

PT Alfa Energi Investama Tbk

Energy / Thermal CoalJakarta

$109.00

+2.00 (+1.87%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $109.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-2.6B · quality 52.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 0.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · FIRE.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Alfa Energi Investama Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$160.8B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

7.1x

↓

ROE

0.0%

↓

Gross Margin

18.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$109
$70$288

TradingView lightweight chart

FIRE.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $109.00Periodo -88.3%
Fair value: $109.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.8%

FCF / Net income

-45.21x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $311.53B · net income $58.5M · FCF $-2.64B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

18.9%-4.4% pts

Operating margin

-1.4%+6.6% pts

Net margin

0.0%+37.9% pts

FCF margin

-0.8%+9.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$311.53B$311.53B$473.50B$264.36B$250.18B
Net Income$58.5M$58.5M$25.50B$-510.3M$-94.68B
EBITDA$21.60B$21.60B$39.85B$10.53B$-111.00B
EPS——17.28-0.35-64.31
Gross Margin18.9%18.9%28.6%26.3%23.4%
Operating Margin-1.4%-1.4%7.7%3.9%-8.0%
Net Margin0.0%0.0%5.4%-0.2%-37.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.010.210.17
Current Ratio0.830.83———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.64B$-2.64B$37.51B$-7.01B$-25.88B
Returns
ROE0.0%0.0%10.6%-0.2%-44.2%
Valuation
P/E——5.09——
EV/EBITDA7.157.152.9121.09—
P/B0.670.670.540.881.10
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-34.2%-34.2%79.1%5.7%—
EPS Growth——5037.1%99.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +31.3%

Total return

+31.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

17.28 → n/d

Residual

+31.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+31.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.