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v0.1
FIRE.ST$156.00-0.32%
Fair $156.00+0.0%

FIRE.ST

Firefly AB (publ)

Industrials / Building Products & EquipmentStockholm

$156.00

-0.50 (-0.32%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $156.00Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $38.6M · quality 62.7/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 48/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · FIRE.STLocal privado en este navegador · Firefly AB (publ)
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$936M

P/E

21.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.9x

↑

ROE

25.2%

↑

Gross Margin

40.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$156
$154$220

TradingView lightweight chart

FIRE.ST price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $156.00Periodo +766.7%
Fair value: $156.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

9.1%

FCF / Net income

0.96x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $503.2M · net income $47.6M · FCF $45.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

40.7%+5.9% pts

Operating margin

12.6%+1.3% pts

Net margin

9.5%+0.4% pts

FCF margin

9.1%+10.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$503.2M$503.2M$497.1M$477.9M$384.4M
Net Income$47.6M$47.6M$54.8M$45.2M$34.8M
EBITDA$66.3M$66.3M$78.0M$63.8M$46.5M
EPS7.927.929.147.545.81
Gross Margin40.7%40.7%41.2%37.4%34.9%
Operating Margin12.6%12.6%14.1%12.2%11.3%
Net Margin9.5%9.5%11.0%9.5%9.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.010.02
Current Ratio3.153.15———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$45.8M$45.8M$38.6M$36.3M$-5.6M
Returns
ROE25.2%25.2%31.3%30.6%29.2%
Valuation
P/E21.9121.9121.3422.9514.98
EV/EBITDA12.9312.9314.1515.4810.53
P/B4.954.956.677.034.37
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.2%1.2%4.0%24.3%—
EPS Growth-13.3%-13.3%21.2%29.8%—
Dividend Yield3.8%3.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

20.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$13.84

Spread vs growth

-33.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

16.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$16.75

Spread vs growth

-29.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$26.97

Spread vs growth

-26.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.3%

Total return

-11.3%

Start / end P/E

20.1x → 19.7x

EPS bridge

9.14 → 7.92

Residual

+0.3%

EPS growth-13.3%
Multiple rerating-2.1%
Dividend+3.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.