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v0.1
FIX$1791.78-2.21%
Fair $1791.78+0.0%

FIX

Comfort Systems USA, Inc.

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionNYSE

$1791.78

-40.33 (-2.21%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1791.78Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 65/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $738.0M · quality 79.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 74/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

65/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 0unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · FIXLocal privado en este navegador · Comfort Systems USA, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$63.0B

P/E

51.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

43.5x

↑

ROE

41.8%

↑

Gross Margin

24.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.20

↓
52-Week Range$1792
$465$2074

TradingView lightweight chart

FIX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,788Periodo +25215.1%
Fair value: $1,792

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+13.9%

FCF CAGR

+21.7%

FCF margin

11.3%

FCF / Net income

1.01x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $9.10B · net income $1.02B · FCF $1.03B

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.1%+4.1% pts

Operating margin

14.4%+9.4% pts

Net margin

11.2%+8.2% pts

FCF margin

11.3%+7.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$9.10B$9.10B$7.03B$5.21B$4.14B$3.07B$2.86B$2.62B$2.18B$1.79B$1.63B$1.58B$1.41B$1.36B$1.33B$1.22B$1.06B$1.13B
Net Income$1.02B$1.02B$522.4M$323.4M$245.9M$143.3M$150.1M$114.3M$112.9M$55.3M$64.9M$49.4M$23.1M$27.3M$11.8M$-36.5M$14.7M$34.2M
EBITDA$1.44B$1.44B$817.1M$478.6M$329.3M$216.8M$218.6M$188.1M——————————
EPS28.8828.8814.609.016.823.934.093.083.001.471.721.300.610.730.36-0.990.390.89
Gross Margin24.1%24.1%21.0%19.0%17.9%18.3%19.1%19.2%20.4%20.5%21.0%20.1%17.7%17.7%15.6%14.9%17.9%20.0%
Operating Margin14.4%14.4%10.6%8.0%6.1%6.1%6.7%6.3%6.9%5.6%6.2%5.7%3.0%3.4%1.7%-3.5%3.0%5.0%
Net Margin11.2%11.2%7.4%6.2%5.9%4.7%5.3%4.4%5.2%3.1%4.0%3.1%1.6%2.0%0.9%-3.0%1.4%3.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.200.200.180.200.390.480.340.350.150.140.010.030.130.010.010.01——
Current Ratio1.241.24————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.03B$1.03B$738.0M$544.7M$253.2M$157.8M$262.4M$110.3M$119.9M$78.6M$68.0M$77.1M$23.4M$21.0M$18.7M$21.0M$25.1M$44.8M
Returns
ROE41.8%41.8%30.6%25.3%24.6%17.8%21.6%19.5%22.7%13.2%17.2%14.2%7.5%9.2%4.4%-13.8%4.7%—
Valuation
P/E51.7551.7530.7221.7416.68—————————————
EV/EBITDA43.5543.5519.3414.8013.46—————————————
P/B25.8625.869.415.504.10—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth29.5%29.5%35.0%25.8%—7.6%9.2%19.8%22.1%9.4%3.4%12.0%3.9%2.0%9.4%14.4%-5.8%—
EPS Growth97.8%97.8%62.0%32.1%—-3.9%32.8%2.7%104.1%-14.5%32.3%113.1%-16.4%102.8%136.4%-353.8%-56.2%—
Dividend Yield0.1%0.1%————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

76.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$158.99

Spread vs growth

21.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

46.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$192.38

Spread vs growth

51.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

26.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$309.83

Spread vs growth

71.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +274.0%

Total return

+274.0%

Start / end P/E

32.8x → 61.9x

EPS bridge

14.60 → 28.88

Residual

+87.0%

EPS growth+97.8%
Multiple rerating+89.0%
Dividend+0.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+87.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.