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v0.1
FLT.AX$11.06+1.65%
Fair $11.06+0.0%

FLT.AX

Flight Centre Travel Group Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Travel ServicesASX

$11.06

+0.18 (+1.65%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11.06Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $64.1M · quality 43.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · FLT.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Flight Centre Travel Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.3B

P/E

22.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

6.1x

↓

ROE

8.9%

↑

Gross Margin

94.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.72

↑
52-Week Range$11
$10$17

TradingView lightweight chart

FLT.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11.06Periodo -5.6%
Fair value: $11.06

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+40.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

1.3%

FCF / Net income

0.33x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.78B · net income $109.5M · FCF $36.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

94.1%-3.5% pts

Operating margin

8.0%+47.9% pts

Net margin

3.9%+32.4% pts

FCF margin

1.3%+15.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.78B$2.78B$2.71B$2.28B$1.01B
Net Income$109.5M$109.5M$139.6M$47.5M$-286.7M
EBITDA$415.9M$415.9M$449.1M$290.1M$-202.9M
EPS0.490.490.500.23-1.44
Gross Margin94.1%94.1%94.5%95.6%97.6%
Operating Margin8.0%8.0%9.0%5.1%-39.9%
Net Margin3.9%3.9%5.2%2.1%-28.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.720.720.821.201.70
Current Ratio1.071.07———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$36.5M$36.5M$325.9M$64.1M$-141.7M
Returns
ROE8.9%8.9%11.6%4.2%-36.9%
Valuation
P/E22.1222.1242.8383.07—
EV/EBITDA6.066.0612.9413.62—
P/B2.022.024.973.474.61
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.7%2.7%18.9%126.4%—
EPS Growth-2.4%-2.4%123.1%115.7%—
Dividend Yield3.7%3.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

26.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.98

Spread vs growth

-28.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

19.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.19

Spread vs growth

-21.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.91

Spread vs growth

-17.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -12.1%

Total return

-12.1%

Start / end P/E

26.2x → 22.6x

EPS bridge

0.50 → 0.49

Residual

+0.3%

EPS growth-2.4%
Multiple rerating-13.7%
Dividend+3.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.