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v0.1
FNKO$5.59-1.58%
Fair $6.85+22.5%

FNKO

Funko, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / LeisureNasdaqGS

$5.59

-0.09 (-1.58%)

Modestly Undervalued+22.5%Fair Value $6.85Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapSEC 10/10 yrs|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 1/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 28% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-4.2M · quality 32.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 35/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

73/100

+22.5% upside

5Y CAGR

-4.2%

33/100

Data QA

100/100

SEC 100%

Latest source: sec-companyfactsPeriods: 10Warnings: 2sec-companyfacts: 10
Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -36.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · FNKOLocal privado en este navegador · Funko, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$312M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

38.7x

↑

ROE

-36.3%

↓

Gross Margin

38.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.21

↑
52-Week Range$6
$2$6
EV/EBITDA Historical38.7x

TradingView lightweight chart

FNKO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.590Periodo -20.9%
Fair value: $6.849

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2016–2025 · 9 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.2%

FCF / Net income

0.57x

Latest source

SEC-backed

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $908.2M · net income $-67.4M · FCF $-38.1M

2016-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

38.7%— pts

Operating margin

-5.0%-15.4% pts

Net margin

-7.4%-11.1% pts

FCF margin

-4.2%-10.8% pts
SEC-backed annual metrics active for 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016. Local SEC Companyfacts override Yahoo/FMP for audited annual line items; provider-only fields remain as fallback.
MetricTTM
2025SEC
2024SEC
2023SEC
2022SEC
2021SEC
2020SEC
2019SEC
2018SEC
2017SEC
2016SEC
Income Statement
Revenue$908.2M$908.2M$1.05B$1.10B$1.32B$1.03B$652.5M$795.1M$686.1M$516.1M$426.7M
Net Income$-67.4M$-67.4M$-14.7M$-154.1M$-8.0M$43.9M$4.0M$11.7M$7.5M$3.9M$15.8M
EBITDA$14.3M$14.3M$72.7M$55.8M$35.2M$135.5M$67.9M$88.7M$100.0M$74.2M$67.7M
EPS-1.24-1.24-0.28-3.19-0.181.080.110.360.290.04—
Gross Margin38.7%38.7%41.4%30.4%32.8%——————
Operating Margin-5.0%-5.0%1.2%-9.5%-0.9%9.3%3.6%5.9%8.9%8.2%10.3%
Net Margin-7.4%-7.4%-1.4%-14.1%-0.6%4.3%0.6%1.5%1.1%0.8%3.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.211.210.780.660.480.540.790.961.471.700.97
Current Ratio1.151.15—————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-38.1M$-38.1M$90.7M$-4.2M$-99.3M$59.6M$90.3M$48.5M$23.1M$-9.7M$28.3M
Returns
ROE-36.3%-36.3%-6.3%-66.4%-2.2%13.6%1.6%5.2%4.8%3.0%7.2%
Valuation
P/E—————4.8747.8214.6118.14131.50—
EV/EBITDA38.6838.6813.1312.0724.07——————
P/B1.541.541.171.100.640.660.780.770.872.03—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-13.5%-13.5%-4.2%-17.1%28.5%57.7%-17.9%15.9%32.9%20.9%—
EPS Growth-342.9%-342.9%91.2%-1672.2%-116.7%881.8%-69.4%24.1%625.0%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +33.4%

Total return

+33.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.28 → -1.24

Residual

+33.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+33.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.

12.1x
38.7x
EV/EBITDA vs Sector38.7x
4.7xmed 9.3x58.0x