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FOSL$4.43+0.00%
Fair $4.43+0.0%

FOSL

Fossil Group, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Footwear & AccessoriesNasdaqGS

$4.43

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.43Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 5/F
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-60.5M · quality 30.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

5/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 15Warnings: 2unknown: 15
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -75.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · FOSLLocal privado en este navegador · Fossil Group, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$262M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-75.7%

↓

Gross Margin

56.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.96

↑
No hay histórico de precio usable para pintar el gráfico TradingView.

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2026 · 17 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.0%

FCF / Net income

0.78x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.00B · net income $-77.8M · FCF $-60.5M

2009-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

56.1%+2.3% pts

Operating margin

-1.9%-14.9% pts

Net margin

-7.7%-16.5% pts

FCF margin

-6.0%-8.9% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2024
2023
2022
2021
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$1.00B$1.00B$1.14B$1.41B$1.68B$1.61B$2.22B$2.54B$2.79B$3.04B$3.51B$3.26B$2.86B$2.57B$1.55B$1.58B
Net Income$-77.8M$-77.8M$-106.3M$-156.7M$-43.5M$-95.9M$-50.0M$-938000.00$-473.6M$85.6M$386.6M$388.0M$354.3M$294.7M$139.2M$138.1M
EBITDA$-6.0M$-6.0M$-87.9M$-123.9M$21.9M$-92.2M$26.4M$130.3M$-343.3M$221.7M$662.5M$643.5M$554.4M$523.9M$253.0M$243.4M
EPS-1.45-1.45-1.94-3.00-0.85-1.88-1.04-0.07-9.871.637.106.565.594.612.072.02
Gross Margin56.1%56.1%52.2%48.1%49.4%47.7%49.6%52.7%48.7%51.9%57.0%57.1%56.2%56.1%54.6%53.8%
Operating Margin-1.9%-1.9%-9.1%-10.1%-0.1%-8.4%-1.3%2.5%-15.2%4.2%16.1%17.2%17.1%18.4%13.7%13.0%
Net Margin-7.7%-7.7%-9.3%-11.1%-2.6%-5.9%-2.3%-0.0%-17.0%2.8%11.0%11.9%12.4%11.5%9.0%8.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.961.961.120.830.550.480.400.460.760.600.620.460.060.01——
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-60.5M$-60.5M$39.9M$-68.0M$-124.1M$92.5M$-35.1M$230.2M$154.0M$144.5M$293.1M——$141.4M$228.3M$45.0M
Returns
ROE-75.7%-75.7%-71.5%-61.6%-10.7%-21.8%-9.9%-0.2%-82.2%8.5%39.5%36.3%28.7%26.6%——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-12.3%-12.3%-18.9%-16.1%4.3%-27.3%-12.7%-8.8%-8.4%-13.3%7.7%14.1%11.3%65.8%-2.2%—
EPS Growth25.3%25.3%35.3%-252.9%54.8%-80.8%-1385.7%99.3%-705.5%-77.0%8.2%17.4%21.3%122.7%2.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · available periodreconcilia total n/d
Return attribution requires positive start and end prices.

Unavailable: positive start/end prices are required.