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FWL.NZ$0.47+0.00%
Fair $0.47+0.0%

FWL.NZ

Foley Wines Limited

Consumer Defensive / Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesNZSE

$0.47

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.47Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 24/D
F-Score: 5/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.4M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 8/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

24/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -1.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · FWL.NZLocal privado en este navegador · Foley Wines Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$31M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

11.2x

↑

ROE

-1.3%

↓

Gross Margin

32.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.45

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

FWL.NZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.470Periodo -80.9%
Fair value: $0.470

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

17.9%

FCF / Net income

-6.80x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $70.5M · net income $-1.9M · FCF $12.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

32.0%-6.8% pts

Operating margin

-7.8%-21.9% pts

Net margin

-2.6%-13.4% pts

FCF margin

17.9%+26.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$70.5M$70.5M$66.4M$66.6M$57.7M
Net Income$-1.9M$-1.9M$-4.1M$6.3M$6.2M
EBITDA$8.4M$8.4M$12.3M$18.5M$17.1M
EPS-0.03-0.03-0.060.090.09
Gross Margin32.0%32.0%29.2%33.5%38.8%
Operating Margin-7.8%-7.8%-1.4%9.0%14.0%
Net Margin-2.6%-2.6%-6.1%9.5%10.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.450.450.540.510.48
Current Ratio2.882.88———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$12.6M$12.6M$-1.4M$-3.7M$-4.9M
Returns
ROE-1.3%-1.3%-2.8%4.3%4.3%
Valuation
P/E———13.1016.25
EV/EBITDA11.2211.2210.578.589.83
P/B0.220.220.370.560.70
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.2%6.2%-0.4%15.5%—
EPS Growth54.4%54.4%-166.7%2.2%—
Dividend Yield4.3%4.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -19.9%

Total return

-19.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.06 → -0.03

Residual

-24.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-24.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.