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GAIA$2.38+1.71%
Fair $2.38+0.0%

GAIA

Gaia, Inc.

Communication Services / EntertainmentNasdaqGM

$2.38

+0.04 (+1.71%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.38Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 26/D
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-377000.00 · quality 54.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

26/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 1unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -5.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · GAIALocal privado en este navegador · Gaia, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$60M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

4.5x

↓

ROE

-5.1%

↓

Gross Margin

87.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.17

↓
52-Week Range$2
$2$6

TradingView lightweight chart

GAIA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.380Periodo -84.8%
Fair value: $2.380

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.4%

FCF / Net income

0.08x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $99.0M · net income $-4.5M · FCF $-377000.0

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

87.1%+35.3% pts

Operating margin

-5.2%-4.9% pts

Net margin

-4.5%-4.6% pts

FCF margin

-0.4%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$99.0M$99.0M$89.3M$80.4M$82.0M$79.6M$66.8M$54.0M$42.0M$28.3M$17.2M$13.5M$10.8M$155.5M$127.2M$223.7M$274.3M$278.5M
Net Income$-4.5M$-4.5M$-5.2M$-5.8M$-3.9M$3.7M$519000.00$-18.1M$-33.8M$-23.3M$87.1M$-11.0M$-9.0M$-22.8M$-12.9M$-24.9M$4.3M$296000.00
EBITDA$13.4M$13.4M$12.9M$12.0M$13.2M$15.1M$7.4M$-7.6M$-29.4M$-20.2M$-12.9M$-5.4M$-7.6M—————
EPS-0.18-0.18-0.22-0.27-0.150.190.03-1.00—————-0.98-0.57-1.080.180.01
Gross Margin87.1%87.1%86.1%85.5%86.7%86.8%87.1%86.8%87.3%86.1%83.5%80.7%81.1%42.0%44.4%35.3%49.5%51.7%
Operating Margin-5.2%-5.2%-6.4%-5.7%-0.3%2.5%-6.9%-31.9%-86.7%-88.9%-96.1%-64.7%-99.7%-13.9%-8.0%-14.0%2.2%-0.3%
Net Margin-4.5%-4.5%-5.9%-7.2%-4.7%4.7%0.8%-33.6%-80.5%-82.3%504.8%-81.8%-83.3%-14.6%-10.1%-11.1%1.6%0.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.170.170.140.150.26—————————————
Current Ratio0.560.56————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-377000.00$-377000.00$-8.1M$588000.00$-6.7M——$-21.3M$-40.2M$-33.3M$-22.0M$1.2M$5.4M—————
Returns
ROE-5.1%-5.1%-6.5%-6.8%-4.6%——————-13.1%-9.4%-22.4%-11.1%-19.4%2.8%—
Valuation
EV/EBITDA4.524.528.775.335.15—————————————
P/B0.670.671.330.690.67—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.8%10.8%11.0%-2.0%—19.1%23.8%28.5%48.5%64.0%28.1%25.2%-93.1%22.2%-43.1%-18.4%-1.5%—
EPS Growth18.2%18.2%18.5%-80.0%—533.3%103.0%——————-71.9%47.2%-700.0%1700.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -53.6%

Total return

-53.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.22 → -0.18

Residual

-53.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-53.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.