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GANGAFORGE.NS$2.34+0.85%
Fair $2.34+0.0%

GANGAFORGE.NS

Ganga Forging Limited

Industrials / Metal FabricationNSE

$2.34

+0.02 (+0.85%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.34Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-67.6M · quality 51.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 1.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · GANGAFORGE.NSLocal privado en este navegador · Ganga Forging Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$315M

P/E

46.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

17.3x

↑

ROE

1.9%

↓

Gross Margin

12.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.52

↑
52-Week Range$2
$2$5

TradingView lightweight chart

GANGAFORGE.NS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.360Periodo +47.0%
Fair value: $2.340

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-15.8%

FCF / Net income

-11.02x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $427.8M · net income $6.1M · FCF $-67.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.6%-7.5% pts

Operating margin

2.8%-3.2% pts

Net margin

1.4%-2.2% pts

FCF margin

-15.8%-11.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$427.8M$427.8M$367.4M$329.9M$282.4M
Net Income$6.1M$6.1M$4.4M$16.6M$10.3M
EBITDA$27.7M$27.7M$25.0M$25.3M$37.5M
EPS0.050.050.030.160.10
Gross Margin12.6%12.6%16.8%15.1%20.1%
Operating Margin2.8%2.8%4.2%3.4%5.9%
Net Margin1.4%1.4%1.2%5.0%3.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.520.520.321.071.00
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-67.6M$-67.6M$-118.2M$-23.6M$-11.7M
Returns
ROE1.9%1.9%1.4%12.4%8.9%
Valuation
P/E46.8046.80343.3324.6974.50
EV/EBITDA17.2617.2658.5522.1624.17
P/B0.980.984.383.146.78
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth16.4%16.4%11.4%16.8%—
EPS Growth66.7%66.7%-81.3%60.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

60.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.21

Spread vs growth

5.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

38.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.25

Spread vs growth

28.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

23.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.40

Spread vs growth

43.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -48.4%

Total return

-48.4%

Start / end P/E

152.3x → 47.2x

EPS bridge

0.03 → 0.05

Residual

-46.0%

EPS growth+66.7%
Multiple rerating-69.0%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-46.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.