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GCLA.BA$4400.00+7.45%
Fair $4400.00+0.0%

GCLA.BA

Grupo Clarín S.A.

Communication Services / EntertainmentBuenos Aires

$4400.00

+305.00 (+7.45%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4400.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 64/B
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-930.4M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

64/100

B

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · GCLA.BALocal privado en este navegador · Grupo Clarín S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$469.8B

P/E

10.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.9x

↓

ROE

12.3%

↑

Gross Margin

44.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.14

↓
52-Week Range$4400
$1650$4750

TradingView lightweight chart

GCLA.BA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4,400Periodo +52305.0%
Fair value: $4,400

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+33.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.02x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $539.99B · net income $44.96B · FCF $-930.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

44.0%+6.5% pts

Operating margin

15.2%+7.1% pts

Net margin

8.3%+10.2% pts

FCF margin

-0.2%-3.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$539.99B$539.99B$465.49B$471.39B$229.16B
Net Income$44.96B$44.96B$-5.29B$-22.97B$-4.27B
EBITDA$73.85B$73.85B$28.14B$-1.64B$11.34B
EPS421.04421.04-49.57-215.01-12.85
Gross Margin44.0%44.0%36.3%33.6%37.5%
Operating Margin15.2%15.2%3.5%2.6%8.1%
Net Margin8.3%8.3%-1.1%-4.9%-1.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.140.140.080.120.09
Current Ratio1.901.90———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-930.4M$-930.4M$-2.46B$15.24B$7.13B
Returns
ROE12.3%12.3%-1.7%-8.9%-3.4%
Valuation
P/E10.3710.37———
EV/EBITDA6.886.889.94—2.11
P/B1.291.290.860.380.15
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth16.0%16.0%-1.3%105.7%—
EPS Growth949.4%949.4%76.9%-1573.2%—
Dividend Yield2.9%2.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-2.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$390.43

Spread vs growth

951.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

2.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$472.42

Spread vs growth

947.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$760.83

Spread vs growth

943.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +47.6%

Total return

+47.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-49.57 → 421.04

Residual

+44.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+44.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.