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GCO$37.26-2.89%
Fair $37.26+0.0%

GCO

Genesco Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Apparel RetailNYSE

$37.26

-1.11 (-2.89%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $37.26Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $46.8M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 1unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · GCOLocal privado en este navegador · Genesco Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$405M

P/E

20.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.5x

↑

ROE

2.3%

↓

Gross Margin

46.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.92

↑
52-Week Range$37
$20$39

TradingView lightweight chart

GCO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $37.26Periodo +222.9%
Fair value: $37.26

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2010–2026 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.8%

FCF CAGR

-1.6%

FCF margin

3.4%

FCF / Net income

6.31x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.44B · net income $13.3M · FCF $83.7M

2010-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

46.3%— pts

Operating margin

1.0%-2.8% pts

Net margin

0.5%-1.3% pts

FCF margin

3.4%-3.4% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Income Statement
Revenue$2.44B$2.44B$2.33B$2.32B$2.38B$2.42B$1.79B$2.20B$2.19B$2.13B$2.02B———$2.61B$2.29B$1.79B$1.57B
Net Income$13.3M$13.3M$-18.9M$-16.8M$71.9M$114.8M$-56.4M$61.4M$-51.9M$-111.8M$97.4M$94.6M$97.7M$92.7M$112.4M$92.4M$53.9M$28.8M
EBITDA$70.7M$70.7M$66.7M$35.8M$136.1M$198.5M$-60.8M$132.9M$158.8M$152.7M$183.6M$230.3M$241.6M$230.6M$233.6M$215.2M$135.0M$107.9M
EPS1.281.28-1.74-1.505.667.92-3.973.92-2.66-5.804.834.114.123.924.683.792.221.30
Gross Margin46.3%46.3%47.2%47.3%47.6%48.8%45.0%48.4%47.8%47.5%70.1%———49.8%50.1%50.4%—
Operating Margin1.0%1.0%0.7%0.7%3.9%6.4%-6.0%3.8%3.7%3.5%5.3%———6.5%7.0%4.9%3.8%
Net Margin0.5%0.5%-0.8%-0.7%3.0%4.7%-3.2%2.8%-2.4%-5.3%4.8%———4.3%4.0%3.0%1.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.920.920.890.920.960.030.060.020.080.100.080.100.020.030.050.040.00—
Current Ratio1.831.83————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$83.7M$83.7M$46.8M$34.5M$-224.8M$186.0M$133.6M$87.4M$179.9M$36.7M$71.3M$49.0M$86.7M$41.5M$51.5M$95.5M$73.3M$108.3M
Returns
ROE2.3%2.3%-3.5%-2.9%11.8%19.1%-10.0%9.9%-7.0%-13.5%10.6%9.9%9.8%10.1%13.7%12.7%8.6%—
Valuation
P/E20.1420.14——8.74—————————————
EV/EBITDA11.4811.4813.3322.948.53—————————————
P/B0.700.700.800.591.04—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.8%4.8%0.0%-2.5%—35.6%-18.7%0.4%2.9%5.3%————13.7%28.1%13.7%—
EPS Growth173.6%173.6%-16.0%-126.5%—299.5%-201.3%247.4%54.1%-220.1%17.5%-0.2%5.1%-16.2%23.5%70.7%70.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

37.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.31

Spread vs growth

136.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

25.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.00

Spread vs growth

148.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.44

Spread vs growth

156.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +71.5%

Total return

+71.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.74 → 1.28

Residual

+71.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+71.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.