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v0.1
GDEV$14.41+0.00%
Fair $14.41+0.0%

GDEV

GDEV Inc.

Communication Services / Electronic Gaming & MultimediaNasdaqGM

$14.41

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $14.41Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $28.1M · quality 61.7/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 41/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -76.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · GDEVLocal privado en este navegador · GDEV Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$262M

P/E

3.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.5x

↓

ROE

-76.6%

↓

Gross Margin

65.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

-0.01

↓
52-Week Range$14
$11$42

TradingView lightweight chart

GDEV price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $14.41Periodo -85.1%
Fair value: $14.41

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-5.5%

FCF CAGR

-36.7%

FCF margin

7.2%

FCF / Net income

0.42x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $404.3M · net income $69.3M · FCF $29.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

65.0%+1.9% pts

Operating margin

17.6%-6.8% pts

Net margin

17.1%+15.6% pts

FCF margin

7.2%-16.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$404.3M$404.3M$420.9M$464.5M$479.7M
Net Income$69.3M$69.3M$25.5M$46.1M$7.3M
EBITDA$81.6M$81.6M$36.4M$56.5M$18.6M
EPS3.773.771.382.300.37
Gross Margin65.0%65.0%66.3%64.6%63.1%
Operating Margin17.6%17.6%9.6%9.5%24.4%
Net Margin17.1%17.1%6.1%9.9%1.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.01
Current Ratio0.670.67———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$29.1M$29.1M$28.1M$17.2M$115.0M
Returns
ROE-76.6%-76.6%-25.1%-46.2%-4.9%
Valuation
P/E3.823.8214.139.61172.43
EV/EBITDA2.542.546.866.6163.47
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.9%-3.9%-9.4%-3.2%—
EPS Growth173.2%173.2%-40.0%521.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-30.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.28

Spread vs growth

203.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-16.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.55

Spread vs growth

189.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-4.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.49

Spread vs growth

177.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -6.5%

Total return

-6.5%

Start / end P/E

11.2x → 3.8x

EPS bridge

1.38 → 3.77

Residual

-113.9%

EPS growth+173.2%
Multiple rerating-65.8%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-113.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.