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GDHG$1.68+2.91%
Fair $1.68+0.0%

GDHG

Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / LeisureNasdaqCM

$1.68

+0.05 (+2.91%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.68Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 24/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-3.1M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

24/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -4.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · GDHGLocal privado en este navegador · Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$34M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-4.8%

↓

Gross Margin

50.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.04

↓
52-Week Range$2
$1$30

TradingView lightweight chart

GDHG price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.770Periodo -100.0%
Fair value: $1.680

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-28.5%

FCF CAGR

+0.7%

FCF margin

124.0%

FCF / Net income

-2.21x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $15.3M · net income $-8.6M · FCF $19.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

50.2%-22.0% pts

Operating margin

-44.5%-95.2% pts

Net margin

-56.2%-90.5% pts

FCF margin

124.0%+79.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$15.3M$15.3M$22.3M$31.8M$41.8M
Net Income$-8.6M$-8.6M$-1.8M$6.5M$14.3M
EBITDA$-3.7M$-3.7M$4.0M$14.2M$23.9M
EPS——-262.732373.045191.44
Gross Margin50.2%50.2%44.8%60.8%72.2%
Operating Margin-44.5%-44.5%-0.1%33.7%50.7%
Net Margin-56.2%-56.2%-8.0%20.6%34.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.040.040.120.100.14
Current Ratio25.0025.00———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$19.0M$19.0M$-3.1M$-27.3M$18.5M
Returns
ROE-4.8%-4.8%-2.1%10.7%28.9%
Valuation
P/E———54.52—
EV/EBITDA——-0.8225.64—
P/B0.020.020.085.85—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-31.5%-31.5%-29.7%-23.9%—
EPS Growth——-111.1%-54.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -93.5%

Total return

-93.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-262.73 → n/d

Residual

-93.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-93.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.