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GEM.AX$0.14-6.90%
Fair $0.14+0.0%

GEM.AX

G8 Education Limited

Consumer Defensive / Education & Training ServicesASX

$0.14

-0.01 (-6.90%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.14Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 10/F
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $134.5M · quality 64.3/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 82/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

10/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -57.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · GEM.AXLocal privado en este navegador · G8 Education Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$104M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-57.7%

↓

Gross Margin

96.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.56

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

GEM.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.135Periodo -84.4%
Fair value: $0.135

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.7%

FCF CAGR

+14.7%

FCF margin

12.3%

FCF / Net income

-0.38x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $946.8M · net income $-303.3M · FCF $116.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

96.9%+0.8% pts

Operating margin

13.7%+2.4% pts

Net margin

-32.0%-36.1% pts

FCF margin

12.3%+3.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$946.8M$946.8M$1.02B$983.4M$901.3M
Net Income$-303.3M$-303.3M$67.7M$56.1M$36.6M
EBITDA$-169.1M$-169.1M$213.6M$195.6M$162.8M
EPS——0.080.070.04
Gross Margin96.9%96.9%96.6%96.3%96.1%
Operating Margin13.7%13.7%14.9%12.0%11.3%
Net Margin-32.0%-32.0%6.7%5.7%4.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.561.560.860.860.81
Current Ratio0.290.29———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$116.4M$116.4M$134.5M$157.0M$77.2M
Returns
ROE-57.7%-57.7%7.4%6.2%4.1%
Valuation
P/E——16.0716.6226.32
EV/EBITDA——8.548.5410.07
P/B0.190.191.191.031.09
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-6.7%-6.7%3.2%9.1%—
EPS Growth——21.0%57.7%—
Dividend Yield37.9%37.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -50.9%

Total return

-50.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.08 → n/d

Residual

-88.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+37.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-88.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.