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GEMA.JK$87.00+2.35%
Fair $87.00+0.0%

GEMA.JK

PT Gema Grahasarana Tbk

Consumer Cyclical / Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesJakarta

$87.00

+2.00 (+2.35%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $87.00Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-17.2B · quality 37.3/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · GEMA.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Gema Grahasarana Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$138.9B

P/E

12.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.7x

↓

ROE

4.7%

↓

Gross Margin

25.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.04

↑
52-Week Range$87
$77$148

TradingView lightweight chart

GEMA.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $87.00Periodo +155.9%
Fair value: $87.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.81x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.50T · net income $21.24B · FCF $-17.24B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.2%-0.6% pts

Operating margin

3.8%-0.6% pts

Net margin

1.4%+1.4% pts

FCF margin

-1.2%+0.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1496.50B$1496.50B$1434.11B$1267.99B$1109.28B
Net Income$21.24B$21.24B$18.33B$13.64B$207.7M
EBITDA$99.79B$99.79B$111.64B$99.32B$93.85B
EPS——11.468.520.13
Gross Margin25.2%25.2%26.1%24.9%25.8%
Operating Margin3.8%3.8%5.2%4.1%4.4%
Net Margin1.4%1.4%1.3%1.1%0.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.041.041.021.000.96
Current Ratio1.141.14———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-17.24B$-17.24B$9.45B$-21.32B$-20.54B
Returns
ROE4.7%4.7%4.2%3.3%0.1%
Valuation
P/E12.2012.2014.1431.222369.23
EV/EBITDA5.705.705.778.048.74
P/B0.310.310.601.041.23
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.4%4.4%13.1%14.3%—
EPS Growth——34.5%6453.8%—
Dividend Yield2.4%2.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -8.9%

Total return

-8.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

11.46 → n/d

Residual

-11.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-11.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.