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GEO.MI$0.27-3.22%
Fair $0.27+0.0%

GEO.MI

Geox S.p.A.

Consumer Cyclical / Footwear & AccessoriesMilan

$0.27

-0.01 (-3.22%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.27Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 10/F
F-Score: 7/9
High DebtDeclining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $40.0M · quality 38.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 50/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

10/100

F

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 4.24, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -21.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · GEO.MILocal privado en este navegador · Geox S.p.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$99M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

6.0x

↓

ROE

-21.6%

↓

Gross Margin

51.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

4.24

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

GEO.MI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.271Periodo -95.0%
Fair value: $0.271

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.1%

FCF CAGR

-28.5%

FCF margin

3.9%

FCF / Net income

-1.46x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $608.7M · net income $-16.2M · FCF $23.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

51.0%+3.5% pts

Operating margin

-1.1%+0.1% pts

Net margin

-2.7%-0.9% pts

FCF margin

3.9%-4.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$608.7M$608.7M$663.8M$719.6M$735.5M
Net Income$-16.2M$-16.2M$-30.3M$-6.5M$-13.0M
EBITDA$66.5M$66.5M$57.4M$83.6M$78.0M
EPS-0.04-0.04-0.11-0.02-0.05
Gross Margin51.0%51.0%50.5%50.7%47.5%
Operating Margin-1.1%-1.1%-1.2%1.5%-1.1%
Net Margin-2.7%-2.7%-4.6%-0.9%-1.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity4.244.244.904.302.95
Current Ratio1.141.14———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$23.7M$23.7M$40.0M$45.5M$64.8M
Returns
ROE-21.6%-21.6%-44.7%-7.1%-12.0%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA6.006.007.696.166.74
P/B1.321.322.002.162.13
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.3%-8.3%-7.8%-2.2%—
EPS Growth59.6%59.6%-364.4%49.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -17.7%

Total return

-17.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.11 → -0.04

Residual

-17.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-17.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.