StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
GKP.L$175.80+0.92%
Fair $175.80+0.0%

GKP.L

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited

Energy / Oil & Gas E&PLSE

$175.80

+1.60 (+0.92%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $175.80Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 35/D
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $65.9M · quality 63.7/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 49/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

35/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 1.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · GKP.LLocal privado en este navegador · Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$382M

P/E

35.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

454.3x

↑

ROE

1.4%

↓

Gross Margin

13.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$176
$149$235

TradingView lightweight chart

GKP.L price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $175.80Periodo -92.6%
Fair value: $175.80

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-20.5%

FCF CAGR

-18.7%

FCF margin

43.6%

FCF / Net income

9.21x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $151.2M · net income $7.2M · FCF $65.9M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

13.6%-51.7% pts

Operating margin

3.1%-54.8% pts

Net margin

4.7%-49.9% pts

FCF margin

43.6%+2.9% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$151.2M$151.2M$123.5M$460.1M$301.4M
Net Income$7.2M$7.2M$-11.5M$266.1M$164.6M
EBITDA$88.3M$88.3M$32.4M$355.2M$230.2M
EPS0.030.03-0.051.190.73
Gross Margin13.6%13.6%6.6%65.1%65.3%
Operating Margin3.1%3.1%-10.6%59.5%57.9%
Net Margin4.7%4.7%-9.3%57.8%54.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.19
Current Ratio1.651.65———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$65.9M$65.9M$-14.1M$266.9M$122.8M
Returns
ROE1.4%1.4%-2.1%46.4%31.5%
Valuation
P/E35.1635.16—165.23276.56
EV/EBITDA454.31454.31795.98123.46197.43
P/B78.4778.4747.3276.7487.25
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth22.4%22.4%-73.2%52.7%—
EPS Growth159.3%159.3%-104.5%62.4%—
Dividend Yield7.3%7.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

692.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$15.60

Spread vs growth

-533.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

259.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$18.88

Spread vs growth

-100.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

98.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$30.40

Spread vs growth

60.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +17.4%

Total return

+17.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.05 → 0.03

Residual

+10.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+7.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+10.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.