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GND.JO$2600.00-0.95%
Fair $2600.00+0.0%

GND.JO

Grindrod Limited

Industrials / Integrated Freight & LogisticsJohannesburg

$2600.00

-25.00 (-0.95%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2600.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 60/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-271.7M · quality 40.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

60/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · GND.JOLocal privado en este navegador · Grindrod Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$17.3B

P/E

8.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

522.3x

↑

ROE

22.2%

↑

Gross Margin

24.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.33

↑
52-Week Range$2600
$1094$2655

TradingView lightweight chart

GND.JO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,617Periodo +1589.6%
Fair value: $2,600

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

21.4%

FCF / Net income

0.55x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.47B · net income $2.14B · FCF $1.17B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.5%+9.5% pts

Operating margin

16.5%+6.7% pts

Net margin

39.1%+27.9% pts

FCF margin

21.4%+22.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.47B$5.47B$4.84B$4.85B$5.88B
Net Income$2.14B$2.14B$390.3M$1.06B$657.5M
EBITDA$3.32B$3.32B$1.29B$1.97B$1.90B
EPS3.103.100.471.480.90
Gross Margin24.5%24.5%16.2%12.9%15.1%
Operating Margin16.5%16.5%8.0%11.0%9.7%
Net Margin39.1%39.1%8.1%21.9%11.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.330.330.300.260.28
Current Ratio1.951.95———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.17B$1.17B$-283.3M$-271.7M$-54.2M
Returns
ROE22.2%22.2%3.9%10.7%7.4%
Valuation
P/E8.398.392529.79755.921108.89
EV/EBITDA522.25522.25615.83378.65351.48
P/B179.92179.9280.0775.1775.01
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.9%12.9%-0.1%-17.6%—
EPS Growth559.4%559.4%-68.2%64.3%—
Dividend Yield1.9%1.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

320.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$230.71

Spread vs growth

238.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

146.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$279.16

Spread vs growth

413.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

64.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$449.58

Spread vs growth

494.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +96.6%

Total return

+96.6%

Start / end P/E

2846.8x → 840.6x

EPS bridge

0.47 → 3.10

Residual

-394.2%

EPS growth+559.4%
Multiple rerating-70.5%
Dividend+1.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-394.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.