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v0.1
GPG.ST$38.80-2.51%
Fair $38.80+0.0%

GPG.ST

Genova Property Group AB (publ)

Real Estate / Real Estate ServicesStockholm

$38.80

-1.00 (-2.51%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $38.80Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 5/9
High Debt

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 19.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 84/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.04, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · GPG.STLocal privado en este navegador · Genova Property Group AB (publ)
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.8B

P/E

7.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

14.8x

↑

ROE

6.7%

↑

Gross Margin

73.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.04

↑
52-Week Range$39
$35$49

TradingView lightweight chart

GPG.ST price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $38.90Periodo -48.8%
Fair value: $38.80

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.2%

FCF CAGR

+7.1%

FCF margin

17.1%

FCF / Net income

0.38x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $514.0M · net income $233.0M · FCF $88.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

73.2%+2.8% pts

Operating margin

61.3%+3.3% pts

Net margin

45.3%-11.3% pts

FCF margin

17.1%-1.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$514.0M$514.0M$508.0M$503.0M$394.7M
Net Income$233.0M$233.0M$124.0M$-450.8M$223.5M
EBITDA$584.0M$584.0M$495.0M$-218.9M$465.2M
EPS4.994.991.92-11.733.98
Gross Margin73.2%73.2%72.6%73.1%70.4%
Operating Margin61.3%61.3%61.4%61.7%58.0%
Net Margin45.3%45.3%24.4%-89.6%56.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.042.041.971.831.67
Current Ratio0.320.32———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$88.0M$88.0M$80.0M$74.8M$71.6M
Returns
ROE6.7%6.7%3.7%-12.8%5.8%
Valuation
P/E7.127.1221.15—13.32
EV/EBITDA14.8214.8216.66—18.01
P/B0.510.510.560.520.58
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.2%1.2%1.0%27.4%—
EPS Growth159.9%159.9%116.4%-394.7%—
Dividend Yield2.4%2.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-11.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$3.44

Spread vs growth

171.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$4.17

Spread vs growth

163.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

3.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$6.71

Spread vs growth

156.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -13.8%

Total return

-13.8%

Start / end P/E

24.2x → 7.8x

EPS bridge

1.92 → 4.99

Residual

-108.3%

EPS growth+159.9%
Multiple rerating-67.7%
Dividend+2.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-108.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.