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Financial Analysis

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v0.1
GPI.MI$15.02+1.08%
Fair $15.02+0.0%

GPI.MI

GPI S.p.A.

Healthcare / Health Information ServicesMilan

$15.02

+0.16 (+1.08%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $15.02Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-18.7M · quality 43.3/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · GPI.MILocal privado en este navegador · GPI S.p.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$434M

P/E

26.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.6x

↓

ROE

5.3%

↑

Gross Margin

56.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.44

↑
52-Week Range$15
$10$19

TradingView lightweight chart

GPI.MI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $15.02Periodo +55.6%
Fair value: $15.02

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+16.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.0%

FCF / Net income

-0.35x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $545.6M · net income $16.2M · FCF $-5.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

56.8%+3.5% pts

Operating margin

9.1%+3.1% pts

Net margin

3.0%+0.2% pts

FCF margin

-1.0%+4.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$545.6M$545.6M$510.1M$433.0M$346.9M
Net Income$16.2M$16.2M$103.8M$5.6M$9.7M
EBITDA$101.2M$101.2M$99.8M$68.0M$45.9M
EPS0.560.563.600.190.34
Gross Margin56.8%56.8%56.6%55.6%53.3%
Operating Margin9.1%9.1%7.4%6.2%6.1%
Net Margin3.0%3.0%20.4%1.3%2.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.441.441.001.401.02
Current Ratio1.641.64———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-5.7M$-5.7M$-18.7M$-31.4M$-19.7M
Returns
ROE5.3%5.3%33.7%2.4%3.9%
Valuation
P/E26.8226.822.9050.5341.18
EV/EBITDA7.577.575.658.2310.45
P/B1.421.420.981.201.62
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.0%7.0%17.8%24.8%—
EPS Growth-84.5%-84.5%1795.5%-44.1%—
Dividend Yield4.0%4.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

33.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.33

Spread vs growth

-118.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

23.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.61

Spread vs growth

-108.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

16.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.60

Spread vs growth

-101.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +46.3%

Total return

+46.3%

Start / end P/E

2.9x → 26.8x

EPS bridge

3.60 → 0.56

Residual

-688.1%

EPS growth-84.5%
Multiple rerating+814.7%
Dividend+4.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-688.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.