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GRAL.MI$0.63-2.33%
Fair $0.63+0.0%

GRAL.MI

Grifal S.p.A.

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersMilan

$0.63

-0.01 (-2.33%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.63Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 24/D
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-2.6M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

24/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 0.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · GRAL.MILocal privado en este navegador · Grifal S.p.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

5.1x

↓

ROE

0.8%

↓

Gross Margin

68.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.26

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

GRAL.MI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.630Periodo -79.0%
Fair value: $0.630

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+13.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.6%

FCF / Net income

-17.23x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $39.0M · net income $150260.0 · FCF $-2.6M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

68.9%+7.0% pts

Operating margin

5.5%+6.8% pts

Net margin

0.4%+3.5% pts

FCF margin

-6.6%+14.1% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$39.0M$39.0M$38.4M$37.7M$27.1M
Net Income$150260.00$150260.00$887217.00$432047.00$-836502.00
EBITDA$5.6M$5.6M$5.5M$4.3M$2.1M
EPS——0.080.04-0.07
Gross Margin68.9%68.9%63.9%58.6%61.9%
Operating Margin5.5%5.5%6.8%4.8%-1.2%
Net Margin0.4%0.4%2.3%1.1%-3.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.261.261.391.090.77
Current Ratio0.840.84———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.6M$-2.6M$815388.00$-6.7M$-5.6M
Returns
ROE0.8%0.8%4.9%2.4%-5.0%
Valuation
P/E——30.2855.40—
EV/EBITDA5.155.158.3310.0529.17
P/B0.390.391.471.352.90
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.6%1.6%2.1%39.1%—
EPS Growth——105.6%151.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -59.9%

Total return

-59.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.08 → n/d

Residual

-59.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-59.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.