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GRN.WA$18.40+0.00%
Fair $18.40+0.0%

GRN.WA

Grodno Spólka Akcyjna

Technology / Electronics & Computer DistributionWarsaw

$18.40

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $18.40Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $25.1M · quality 46.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

12/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 3Warnings: 1unknown: 3
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · GRN.WALocal privado en este navegador · Grodno Spólka Akcyjna
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$283M

P/E

63.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.8x

↑

ROE

4.1%

↓

Gross Margin

16.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.60

↑
52-Week Range$18
$9$19

TradingView lightweight chart

GRN.WA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $18.40Periodo +523.7%
Fair value: $18.40

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2024 · 2 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.4%

FCF CAGR

+13.8%

FCF margin

2.7%

FCF / Net income

5.24x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.19B · net income $6.2M · FCF $32.5M

2022-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

16.5%-0.8% pts

Operating margin

1.4%-3.4% pts

Net margin

0.5%-3.1% pts

FCF margin

2.7%+0.6% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.19B$1.19B$1.23B$1.20B
Net Income$6.2M$6.2M$22.3M$43.8M
EBITDA$26.7M$26.7M$43.0M$63.5M
EPS0.390.391.452.85
Gross Margin16.5%16.5%16.5%17.3%
Operating Margin1.4%1.4%2.8%4.8%
Net Margin0.5%0.5%1.8%3.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.600.600.760.48
Current Ratio1.031.03——
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$32.5M$32.5M$-30.7M$25.1M
Returns
ROE4.1%4.1%15.6%32.6%
Valuation
P/E63.4563.459.317.11
EV/EBITDA13.8213.827.285.77
P/B1.891.891.452.32
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.5%-3.5%2.7%—
EPS Growth-73.1%-73.1%-49.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

61.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.63

Spread vs growth

-134.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

38.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.98

Spread vs growth

-111.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

23.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.18

Spread vs growth

-96.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +73.6%

Total return

+73.6%

Start / end P/E

7.3x → 47.2x

EPS bridge

1.45 → 0.39

Residual

-398.7%

EPS growth-73.1%
Multiple rerating+545.4%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-398.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.